Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar preview

Excelsior host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:45 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Excelsior a 34% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AZ Alkmaar 49%. That makes our pick AZ Alkmaar to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.18. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Excelsior or AZ Alkmaar) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.8 for Excelsior, 1.3 for AZ Alkmaar). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Excelsior have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 19. AZ Alkmaar have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-L-L), scoring 7 and conceding 7. In the table, Excelsior are 15th with 11 points and AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.18. Win chances: Excelsior 34%, draw 17%, AZ Alkmaar 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar?

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar?

The double chance 12 (Excelsior or AZ Alkmaar) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.