Famalicao vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 6 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
FamalicaoLLWDL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
AroucaDWWWW
Kick-offFri 6 Mar, 21:15
Our tip1 @ 1.84 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FamalicaoLLWDL
01 Nov 26ASC Braga0 - 3Primeira Liga
29 Oct 26ASC Braga2 - 2Taça da Liga
25 Oct 26ARio Ave4 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AParedes0 - 1Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26HAlverca1 - 4Primeira Liga
AroucaDWWWW
01 Nov 26HNacional1 - 0Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ACF Os Belenenses4 - 3Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HEstrela1 - 0Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26ASporting CP2 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Famalicao 6 · Draws 4 · Arouca 6 (16 meetings, last 10 below)

06 Nov 26Famalicao1 - 0AroucaPrimeira Liga
22 Jul 26Famalicao0 - 0AroucaFriendlies Clubs
06 Mar 26Famalicao1 - 0AroucaPrimeira Liga
05 Oct 25Arouca1 - 1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
05 Apr 25Arouca1 - 2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
09 Nov 24Famalicao0 - 0AroucaPrimeira Liga
23 Feb 24Arouca3 - 2FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
22 Sep 23Famalicao1 - 0AroucaPrimeira Liga
03 Apr 23Famalicao0 - 1AroucaPrimeira Liga
10 Oct 22Arouca4 - 1FamalicaoPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: Famalicao vs Arouca →

Our prediction

Famalicao to win

@ 1.84
Double chance
1X  •  Famalicao or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Famalicaolast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Aroucalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
0.81Famalicao
2.79Total
1.98Arouca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Famalicao win 11% @ 6.00 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Famalicao win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Famalicao win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Famalicao70%
Draw17%
Arouca13%

Odds (1X2)

11.84
X3.50
24.10

Famalicao vs Arouca preview and result

Famalicao and Arouca met in the Primeira Liga on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Famalicao a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arouca 13%. Our pick was Famalicao to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.84. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Famalicao or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (0.8 for Famalicao, 2.0 for Arouca). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Famalicao have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Famalicao won 6, Arouca won 6 and 4 ended level. In the table, Famalicao are 10th with 13 points and Arouca are 5th with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Famalicao vs Arouca?

Our pre-match prediction is Famalicao to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.84. Win chances: Famalicao 70%, draw 17%, Arouca 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Famalicao vs Arouca?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Famalicao vs Arouca?

Famalicao vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) was played on Friday 6 March 2026 at 21:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Famalicao vs Arouca?

The double chance 1X (Famalicao or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Famalicao10th13 pts
Arouca5th20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142