Tondela vs Rio Ave Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 9 Mar 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
TondelaWDLWD
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Rio AveLWWLL
Kick-offMon 9 Mar, 21:15
Our tip1 @ 2.08 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
TondelaWDLWD
08 Nov 26ASporting CP B1 - 1Segunda Liga
01 Nov 26HFelgueiras 19323 - 2Segunda Liga
25 Oct 26AAVS1 - 2Segunda Liga
18 Oct 26HAlverca0 - 0Taça De Portugal
10 Oct 26HTorreense1 - 0Segunda Liga
Rio AveLWWLL
01 Nov 26AAcademico Viseu1 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ALouletano1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HNacional3 - 2Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26AAlverca0 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Tondela vs Rio Ave →

Our prediction

Tondela to win

@ 2.08
Double chance
12  •  Tondela or Rio Ave
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Tondelalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Rio Avelast 20 tipped matches
15/2075%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 48%Under 2.5: 52%
Expected goals
2.25Tondela
2.58Total
0.33Rio Ave

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Tondela win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Tondela win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Tondela win 7% @ 8.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 0 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Tondela49%
Draw18%
Rio Ave33%

Odds (1X2)

12.08
X3.30
23.50

Tondela vs Rio Ave preview and result

Tondela and Rio Ave met in the Primeira Liga on Monday 9 March 2026 at 21:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Tondela a 49% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rio Ave 33%. Our pick was Tondela to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.08. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Tondela or Rio Ave) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (2.3 for Tondela, 0.3 for Rio Ave). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Tondela have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-L-W-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Rio Ave have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Tondela vs Rio Ave?

Our pre-match prediction is Tondela to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.08. Win chances: Tondela 49%, draw 18%, Rio Ave 33%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tondela vs Rio Ave?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).

What time is Tondela vs Rio Ave?

Tondela vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) was played on Monday 9 March 2026 at 21:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Tondela vs Rio Ave?

The double chance 12 (Tondela or Rio Ave) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Tondela–
Rio Ave17th7 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142