Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Carioca 1 · Sun 1 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Carioca 1
FluminenseLWLWW
22:00
⚠ No result yet – may be postponed · Sun 1 Mar
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
Kick-offSun 1 Mar, 22:00
Our tip1 @ 1.93
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
FluminenseLWLWW
06 Nov 26AVitoria3 - 0Serie A
28 Oct 26HInternacional2 - 1Serie A
24 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc1 - 2Serie A
22 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26HSantos1 - 2Serie A
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
04 Nov 26AAtletico Paranaense3 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26APalmeiras0 - 1Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HFlamengo1 - 4Serie A
24 Oct 26HCorinthians3 - 2Serie A
21 Oct 26HBoca Juniors1 - 3CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Head to head

Fluminense 2 · Draws 0 · Vasco DA Gama 2 (4 meetings)

06 Sep 26Fluminense1 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
06 Aug 26Fluminense1 - 3Vasco DA GamaCopa Do Brasil
19 Mar 26Vasco DA Gama3 - 2FluminenseSerie A
22 Feb 26Vasco DA Gama0 - 1FluminenseCarioca 1

Full head to head: Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama →

Our prediction

Fluminense to win

@ 1.93
Double chance
1X  •  Fluminense or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.67
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Fluminenselast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Vasco DA Gamalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 37%Under 2.5: 63%
Expected goals
1.16Fluminense
2.19Total
1.03Vasco DA Gama

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Fluminense win 13% @ 5.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
2 – 0 Fluminense win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Fluminense win 8% @ 7.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Fluminense65%
Draw18%
Vasco DA Gama17%

Odds (1X2)

11.93
X3.20
23.90

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama preview

Fluminense host Vasco DA Gama in the Carioca 1 (Brazil) on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 22:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Fluminense a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Vasco DA Gama 17%. That makes our pick Fluminense to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.93. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Fluminense or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (1.2 for Fluminense, 1.0 for Vasco DA Gama). The chance of three or more goals is 37%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Vasco DA Gama have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 11. In their last 4 meetings, Fluminense won 2, Vasco DA Gama won 2 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our prediction is Fluminense to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.93. Win chances: Fluminense 65%, draw 18%, Vasco DA Gama 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 37%).

What time is Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama (Carioca 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 22:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

The double chance 1X (Fluminense or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.