Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX · Thu 19 Mar 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
5 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
LeonDLWDL
Kick-offThu 19 Mar, 03:07
Our tip1 @ 1.37 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
01 Nov 26HAtlante FC4 - 2Liga MX
25 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 0Liga MX
21 Oct 26HNecaxa1 - 0Liga MX
17 Oct 26HTigres UANL1 - 1Liga MX
11 Oct 26AAtlas1 - 1Liga MX
LeonDLWDL
02 Nov 26ACruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26HToluca1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 0Liga MX
18 Oct 26HClub America3 - 5Liga MX
10 Oct 26APuebla1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Guadalajara Chivas 10 · Draws 6 · Leon 8 (24 meetings, last 10 below)

09 Nov 26Leon1 - 1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
19 Mar 26Guadalajara Chivas5 - 0LeonLiga MX
20 Jul 25Leon1 - 0Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
29 Jan 25Leon2 - 1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
19 Sep 24Guadalajara Chivas2 - 0LeonLiga MX
09 Mar 24Guadalajara Chivas1 - 2LeonLiga MX
09 Sep 23Guadalajara Chivas2 - 0LeonFriendlies Clubs
04 Jul 23Leon1 - 2Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
16 Apr 23Leon0 - 2Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
21 Jul 22Guadalajara Chivas0 - 0LeonLiga MX

Full head to head: Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon →

Our prediction

Guadalajara Chivas to win

@ 1.37
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Guadalajara Chivaslast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Leonlast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.51Guadalajara Chivas
2.79Total
1.28Leon

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Guadalajara Chivas win 9% @ 6.50
1 – 0 Guadalajara Chivas win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Guadalajara Chivas win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
3 – 0 Guadalajara Chivas win 8% @ 8.00
1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 5 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Guadalajara Chivas63%
Draw19%
Leon18%

Odds (1X2)

11.37
X4.85
27.50

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon preview and result

Guadalajara Chivas and Leon met in the Liga MX on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 03:07 (Nigerian time). The match finished 5 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Leon 18%. Our pick was Guadalajara Chivas to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.37. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.5 for Guadalajara Chivas, 1.3 for Leon). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Guadalajara Chivas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Leon have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. In their last 10 meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 10, Leon won 8 and 6 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon?

Our pre-match prediction is Guadalajara Chivas to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.37. Win chances: Guadalajara Chivas 63%, draw 19%, Leon 18%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon?

Guadalajara Chivas vs Leon (Liga MX) was played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 03:07 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Guadalajara Chivas3rd30 pts
Leon–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Club Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111