Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX · Mon 23 Mar 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
PachucaDLLWW
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
TolucaDDDDW
Kick-offMon 23 Mar, 00:00
Our tip2 @ 1.90 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PachucaDLLWW
31 Oct 26HTigres UANL3 - 0Liga MX
26 Oct 26AClub America2 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HCruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
19 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 2Liga MX
11 Oct 26HNecaxa3 - 3Liga MX
TolucaDDDDW
08 Nov 26HMonterrey4 - 0Liga MX
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Pachuca vs Toluca →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.90
Double chance
12  •  Pachuca or Toluca
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.62
Confidence
85%

Our record

Our tips on Pachucalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Tolucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
0.99Pachuca
2.67Total
1.68Toluca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25 ✓ Final score
1 – 2 Toluca win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
0 – 1 Toluca win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 2 Toluca win 7% @ 8.50
1 – 0 Pachuca win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Pachuca15%
Draw10%
Toluca75%

Odds (1X2)

13.65
X3.70
21.90

Pachuca vs Toluca preview and result

Pachuca and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Pachuca a 15% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Toluca 75%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.90. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Pachuca or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.0 for Pachuca, 1.7 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Pachuca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.90. Win chances: Pachuca 15%, draw 10%, Toluca 75%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pachuca vs Toluca?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Pachuca vs Toluca?

Pachuca vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Pachuca vs Toluca?

The double chance 12 (Pachuca or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Pachuca–
Toluca4th27 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Club Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111