Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 11 May 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
GuimaraesWLWWD
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Casa PiaWLWWL
Kick-offMon 11 May, 20:15
Our tip1 @ 1.70 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
GuimaraesWLWWD
02 Nov 26AGIL Vicente0 - 0Primeira Liga
23 Oct 26HMaritimo5 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ARecreativa de Lamelas1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ABenfica0 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Sep 26AChaves1 - 0Friendlies Clubs
Casa PiaWLWWL
30 Oct 26HSporting CP0 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AEstrela2 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AAlpendorada1 - 0Taça de Portugal
10 Oct 26HSanta Clara0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AEstoril2 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia →

Our prediction

Guimaraes to win

@ 1.70
Double chance
1X  •  Guimaraes or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
2.23Guimaraes
2.69Total
0.46Casa Pia

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Guimaraes win 10% @ 6.00
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 0 Guimaraes win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Guimaraes win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 0 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Guimaraes64%
Draw20%
Casa Pia16%

Odds (1X2)

11.70
X3.80
24.60

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia preview and result

Guimaraes and Casa Pia met in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Guimaraes a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Casa Pia 16%. Our pick was Guimaraes to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.70. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Guimaraes or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (2.2 for Guimaraes, 0.5 for Casa Pia). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Guimaraes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-D), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Casa Pia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

Our pre-match prediction is Guimaraes to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.70. Win chances: Guimaraes 64%, draw 20%, Casa Pia 16%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) was played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia?

The double chance 1X (Guimaraes or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Guimaraes–
Casa Pia16th8 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142