Tondela vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 11 May 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
TondelaWWLWD
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
MoreirenseDLLWW
Kick-offMon 11 May, 20:15
Our tip1 @ 1.87 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
TondelaWWLWD
08 Nov 26ASporting CP B1 - 1Segunda Liga
01 Nov 26HFelgueiras 19323 - 2Segunda Liga
25 Oct 26AAVS1 - 2Segunda Liga
18 Oct 26HAlverca2 - 0Taça De Portugal
10 Oct 26HTorreense1 - 0Segunda Liga
MoreirenseDLLWW
31 Oct 26HEstrela2 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26AEstoril3 - 1Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AAVS0 - 1Taça de Portugal
09 Oct 26HGIL Vicente0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AVitória SC1 - 1Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Tondela vs Moreirense →

Our prediction

Tondela to win

@ 1.87
Double chance
1X  •  Tondela or Draw
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Tondelalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Moreirenselast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.13Tondela
2.50Total
1.37Moreirense

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Tondela win 11% @ 5.75
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
2 – 1 Tondela win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Tondela win 8% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Tondela62%
Draw19%
Moreirense19%

Odds (1X2)

11.87
X3.55
23.95

Tondela vs Moreirense preview and result

Tondela and Moreirense met in the Primeira Liga on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Tondela a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moreirense 19%. Our pick was Tondela to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.87. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Tondela or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.1 for Tondela, 1.4 for Moreirense). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Tondela have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-D), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 6 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Tondela vs Moreirense?

Our pre-match prediction is Tondela to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.87. Win chances: Tondela 62%, draw 19%, Moreirense 19%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tondela vs Moreirense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Tondela vs Moreirense?

Tondela vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) was played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Tondela vs Moreirense?

The double chance 1X (Tondela or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Tondela–
Moreirense9th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142