Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun 1 Mar 2026
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
Hamburger SVWWLLL
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
RB LeipzigLWWWL
Kick-offSun 1 Mar, 19:30
Our tip2 @ 1.96 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Hamburger SVWWLLL
01 Nov 26AEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3Bundesliga
27 Oct 26HEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26ASC Paderborn 070 - 1Bundesliga
17 Oct 26HVfB Stuttgart1 - 0Bundesliga
10 Oct 26A1899 Hoffenheim3 - 2Bundesliga
RB LeipzigLWWWL
04 Nov 26HManchester City2 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26AFC Schalke 042 - 0Bundesliga
27 Oct 26ARot-Weiß Essen2 - 1DFB Pokal
24 Oct 26HSV Elversberg4 - 0Bundesliga
21 Oct 26AReal Madrid1 - 4UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Hamburger SV 1 · Draws 1 · RB Leipzig 7 (9 meetings)

13 Sep 26RB Leipzig5 - 0Hamburger SVBundesliga
01 Mar 26Hamburger SV1 - 2RB LeipzigBundesliga
18 Oct 25RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburger SVBundesliga
18 Oct 22RB Leipzig4 - 0Hamburger SVDFB Pokal
23 Apr 19Hamburger SV1 - 3RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
27 Jan 18RB Leipzig1 - 1Hamburger SVBundesliga
08 Sep 17Hamburger SV0 - 2RB LeipzigBundesliga
11 Feb 17RB Leipzig0 - 3Hamburger SVBundesliga
17 Sep 16Hamburger SV0 - 4RB LeipzigBundesliga

Full head to head: Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig →

Our prediction

RB Leipzig to win

@ 1.96
Double chance
12  •  Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Hamburger SVlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on RB Leipziglast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in Bundesligalast 30 days
25/4457%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 57%Under 2.5: 43%
Expected goals
1.48Hamburger SV
2.96Total
1.48RB Leipzig

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.50
1 – 2 RB Leipzig win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick ✓ Final score
0 – 1 RB Leipzig win 7% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Hamburger SV win 6% @ 10.00
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 2 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Hamburger SV33%
Draw17%
RB Leipzig50%

Odds (1X2)

13.55
X3.65
21.96

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig preview and result

Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig met in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Hamburger SV a 33% chance of winning, the draw 17% and RB Leipzig 50%. Our pick was RB Leipzig to win with 60% confidence at odds of 1.96. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.5 for Hamburger SV, 1.5 for RB Leipzig). The chance of three or more goals is 57%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Hamburger SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 11 and conceding 8. In their last 9 meetings, Hamburger SV won 1, RB Leipzig won 7 and 1 ended level. In the table, Hamburger SV are 11th with 12 points and RB Leipzig are 4th with 18 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?

Our pre-match prediction is RB Leipzig to win (60% confidence) at odds of 1.96. Win chances: Hamburger SV 33%, draw 17%, RB Leipzig 50%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 57%).

What time is Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) was played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?

The double chance 12 (Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Bundesliga table

Hamburger SV11th12 pts
RB Leipzig4th18 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Bayern München 9630 2021
2 Borussia Dortmund 9630 921
3 SC Freiburg 9612 1019
4 RB Leipzig 9603 1418
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9513 316
6 Werder Bremen 9432 215
7 SV Elversberg 9414 -113
8 VfB Stuttgart 9405 012
9 1899 Hoffenheim 9405 -112
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9333 -512
11 Hamburger SV 9405 -1012
12 FSV Mainz 05 9315 -110
13 SC Paderborn 07 9243 -310
14 FC Augsburg 9234 09
15 1. FC Köln 9234 -49
16 Union Berlin 9144 -147
17 FC Schalke 04 9135 -66
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 -134