Independiente vs Union Santa Fe Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Tue 10 Mar 2026
Argentina flag Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina
IndependienteDDLDW
4 - 4
Full time · HT 1 - 3
Union Santa FeLDWDW
Kick-offTue 10 Mar, 23:45
Our tip1 @ 2.15 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
IndependienteDDLDW
08 Nov 26HDeportivo Riestra2 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
31 Oct 26ADefensa Y Justicia1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Oct 26HBoca Juniors0 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Oct 26ARacing Club1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26ATalleres Cordoba0 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
Union Santa FeLDWDW
08 Nov 26HVelez Sarsfield2 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Nov 26ANewells Old Boys1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Oct 26HEstudiantes L.P.3 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Oct 26ADeportivo Riestra1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
10 Oct 26HDefensa Y Justicia0 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina

Head to head

Full head to head: Independiente vs Union Santa Fe →

Our prediction

Independiente to win

@ 2.15
Double chance
12  •  Independiente or Union Santa Fe
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.57
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Independientelast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Union Santa Felast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga Profesional Argentinalast 30 days
31/6250%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 36%Under 2.5: 64%
Expected goals
1.21Independiente
2.13Total
0.92Union Santa Fe

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Independiente win 14% @ 4.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.25
0 – 1 Union Santa Fe win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 0 Independiente win 9% @ 7.00

Final score: 4 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Independiente48%
Draw18%
Union Santa Fe34%

Odds (1X2)

12.15
X3.10
23.55

Independiente vs Union Santa Fe preview and result

Independiente and Union Santa Fe met in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 23:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 4, 1 - 3 at half time.

Our model gives Independiente a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Union Santa Fe 34%. Our pick was Independiente to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.15. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Independiente or Union Santa Fe) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.1 goals (1.2 for Independiente, 0.9 for Union Santa Fe). The chance of three or more goals is 36%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 8 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Independiente have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-D-W), scoring 4 and conceding 4. Union Santa Fe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-D-W), scoring 7 and conceding 5. In the table, Independiente are 5th with 24 points and Union Santa Fe are 8th with 21 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Independiente vs Union Santa Fe?

Our pre-match prediction is Independiente to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.15. Win chances: Independiente 48%, draw 18%, Union Santa Fe 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente vs Union Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 36%).

What time is Independiente vs Union Santa Fe?

Independiente vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) was played on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 23:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Independiente vs Union Santa Fe?

The double chance 12 (Independiente or Union Santa Fe) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Independiente5th24 pts
Union Santa Fe8th21 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16943 1231
2 Boca Juniors 16862 1330
3 Velez Sarsfield 16772 628
4 Talleres Cordoba 16754 426
5 Independiente 16664 424
6 Lanus 16664 324
7 San Lorenzo 16574 022
8 Union Santa Fe 16565 421
9 Instituto Cordoba 16637 021
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16475 -319
11 Gimnasia M. 16547 -819
12 Platense 16376 -516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16448 -1016
14 Newells Old Boys 16367 -1215
15 Deportivo Riestra 16187 -711