Juventud vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 16 May 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
JuventudWLDWL
19:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 16 May
Progreso
Kick-offSat 16 May, 19:00
Our tip1
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
JuventudWLDWL
01 Nov 26ALiverpool Montevideo0 - 2Primera División
28 Oct 26ANacional Florida2 - 0Copa Uruguay
23 Oct 26HPenarol0 - 0Primera División
17 Oct 26AProgreso0 - 2Primera División
11 Oct 26HRacing Montevideo2 - 0Primera División
Progreso

No matches found.

Head to head

Juventud 7 · Draws 4 · Progreso 9 (20 meetings, last 10 below)

17 Oct 26Progreso2 - 0JuventudPrimera División
16 May 26Juventud2 - 0ProgresoPrimera División
12 Apr 26Juventud1 - 0ProgresoPrimera División
19 Jan 26Juventud0 - 1ProgresoCopa De La Liga Auf
09 Nov 25Juventud1 - 1ProgresoPrimera División - Clausura
29 Jun 25Juventud2 - 0ProgresoPrimera División - Apertura
18 May 25Progreso1 - 2JuventudPrimera División - Apertura
18 Nov 23Progreso2 - 1JuventudSegunda División
07 Jul 23Juventud1 - 1ProgresoSegunda División
29 Apr 23Juventud1 - 5ProgresoSegunda División

Full head to head: Juventud vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Juventud to win

Double chance
12  •  Juventud or Progreso
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Juventudlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
10/2638%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 45%Under 2.5: 55%
Expected goals
1.80Juventud
2.47Total
0.67Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Juventud win 15% Our pick
2 – 0 Juventud win 14%
1 – 1 Draw 10%
2 – 1 Juventud win 9%
0 – 0 Draw 8%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Juventud60%
Draw11%
Progreso29%

Juventud vs Progreso preview

Juventud host Progreso in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Juventud a 60% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Progreso 29%. That makes our pick Juventud to win with 70% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Juventud or Progreso) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.8 for Juventud, 0.7 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 45%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Juventud have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Juventud won 7, Progreso won 9 and 4 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Juventud vs Progreso?

Our prediction is Juventud to win (70% confidence). Win chances: Juventud 60%, draw 11%, Progreso 29%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Juventud vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 45%).

What time is Juventud vs Progreso?

Juventud vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Juventud vs Progreso?

The double chance 12 (Juventud or Progreso) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.