Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 16 May 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
Penarol
22:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 16 May
Kick-offSat 16 May, 22:30
Our tip2
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Penarol

No matches found.

Liverpool MontevideoWWWWW
05 Nov 26AGladiador2 - 0Copa Uruguay
01 Nov 26HJuventud2 - 0Primera División
25 Oct 26AClub Nacional1 - 0Primera División
21 Oct 26HCerro Largo1 - 0Copa Uruguay
18 Oct 26HPenarol1 - 0Primera División

Head to head

Penarol 19 · Draws 7 · Liverpool Montevideo 11 (37 meetings, last 10 below)

18 Oct 26Liverpool Montevideo1 - 0PenarolPrimera División
16 May 26Penarol2 - 1Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División
13 Apr 26Penarol0 - 2Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División
16 Nov 25Liverpool Montevideo1 - 2PenarolPrimera División - Clausura
13 Sep 25Liverpool Montevideo2 - 2PenarolPrimera División - Clausura
10 Sep 25Penarol2 - 1Liverpool MontevideoCopa Uruguay
19 Jun 25Liverpool Montevideo3 - 2PenarolPrimera División - Apertura
20 Mar 25Penarol0 - 3Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura
09 Nov 24Penarol2 - 0Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura
03 May 24Liverpool Montevideo2 - 2PenarolPrimera División - Apertura

Full head to head: Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo →

Our prediction

Liverpool Montevideo to win

Double chance
12  •  Penarol or Liverpool Montevideo
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
10/2638%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 47%Under 2.5: 53%
Expected goals
1.18Penarol
2.57Total
1.39Liverpool Montevideo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13%
0 – 1 Liverpool Montevideo win 11%
1 – 0 Penarol win 9%
1 – 2 Liverpool Montevideo win 9%
0 – 0 Draw 8%
0 – 3 Liverpool Montevideo win 3% Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Penarol40%
Draw11%
Liverpool Montevideo49%

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo preview

Penarol host Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Penarol a 40% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Liverpool Montevideo 49%. That makes our pick Liverpool Montevideo to win with 55% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Penarol or Liverpool Montevideo) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.2 for Penarol, 1.4 for Liverpool Montevideo). The chance of three or more goals is 47%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Liverpool Montevideo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 0. In their last 10 meetings, Penarol won 19, Liverpool Montevideo won 11 and 7 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Our prediction is Liverpool Montevideo to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Penarol 40%, draw 11%, Liverpool Montevideo 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 47%).

What time is Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo?

The double chance 12 (Penarol or Liverpool Montevideo) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.