Leeds vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League · Fri 1 May 2026
England flag England : Premier League
LeedsLDDLW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
BurnleyLLDDL
Kick-offFri 1 May, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 1.41 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
LeedsLDDLW
07 Nov 26HTottenham1 - 0Premier League
31 Oct 26ABournemouth0 - 2Premier League
25 Oct 26ASunderland0 - 0Premier League
18 Oct 26HManchester United1 - 1Premier League
10 Oct 26AArsenal1 - 2Premier League
BurnleyLLDDL
07 Nov 26ACardiff4 - 5Championship
03 Nov 26AQPR1 - 1Championship
31 Oct 26HPortsmouth0 - 0Championship
24 Oct 26ALincoln1 - 4Championship
16 Oct 26HWolves1 - 2Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Leeds vs Burnley →

Our prediction

Leeds to win

@ 1.41
Double chance
1X  •  Leeds or Draw
@ 1.10
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Burnleylast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
26/5052%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
2.26Leeds
2.90Total
0.64Burnley

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Leeds win 10% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Leeds win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Leeds win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 7.50
3 – 0 Leeds win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leeds66%
Draw17%
Burnley17%

Odds (1X2)

11.41
X4.65
27.00

Leeds vs Burnley preview and result

Leeds and Burnley met in the Premier League on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Leeds a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Burnley 17%. Our pick was Leeds to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.41. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Leeds or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.10.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (2.3 for Leeds, 0.6 for Burnley). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Leeds have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-L-W), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Burnley have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 12.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leeds vs Burnley?

Our pre-match prediction is Leeds to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.41. Win chances: Leeds 66%, draw 17%, Burnley 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leeds vs Burnley?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Leeds vs Burnley?

Leeds vs Burnley (Premier League) was played on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leeds vs Burnley?

The double chance 1X (Leeds or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.10. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Leeds9th14 pts
Burnley–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Arsenal 10901 1027
2 Brighton 10712 1922
3 Manchester City 10703 821
4 Liverpool 10532 418
5 Chelsea 10514 316
6 Everton 10442 216
7 Bournemouth 10433 215
8 Brentford 10352 514
9 Leeds 10352 214
10 Aston Villa 10343 -313
11 Tottenham 10334 -112
12 Newcastle 10334 -312
13 Hull City 10253 011
14 Ipswich 10325 -511
15 Fulham 10244 -210
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 -49
17 Coventry 10307 -99
18 Manchester United 10154 -58
19 Sunderland 10226 -98
20 Crystal Palace 10217 -147