Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League · Sun 3 May 2026
England flag England : Premier League
Manchester UnitedLLLWD
2 - 0
34'
LiverpoolWWWDL
Kick-offSun 3 May, 15:30
Our tip2 @ 2.84
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Manchester UnitedLLLWD
08 Nov 26HAston Villa4 - 4Premier League
03 Nov 26HAS Roma3 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26AChelsea0 - 2Premier League
25 Oct 26HBournemouth0 - 3Premier League
21 Oct 26AComo1 - 4UEFA Champions League
LiverpoolWWWDL
01 Nov 26HArsenal0 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26HChelsea1 - 1League Cup
25 Oct 26HBrighton2 - 0Premier League
20 Oct 26HVillarreal4 - 3UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26ABrentford2 - 1Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Manchester United vs Liverpool →

Our prediction

Liverpool to win

@ 2.84
Double chance
12  •  Manchester United or Liverpool
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.42
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Manchester Unitedlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Liverpoollast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
22/4055%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 59%Under 2.5: 41%
Expected goals
1.52Manchester United
3.04Total
1.52Liverpool

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Manchester United win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Liverpool win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 9.50
1 – 0 Manchester United win 6% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Manchester United41%
Draw17%
Liverpool42%

Odds (1X2)

12.22
X3.70
22.84

Manchester United vs Liverpool preview

Manchester United v Liverpool in the Premier League is under way – the score is 2 - 0 (34').

Our model gives Manchester United a 41% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Liverpool 42%. That makes our pick Liverpool to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.84. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Manchester United or Liverpool) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.5 for Manchester United, 1.5 for Liverpool). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Manchester United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-D), scoring 8 and conceding 15. Liverpool have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-D-L), scoring 9 and conceding 6. In the table, Manchester United are 18th with 8 points and Liverpool are 4th with 18 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Our prediction is Liverpool to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.84. Win chances: Manchester United 41%, draw 17%, Liverpool 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Liverpool?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is Manchester United vs Liverpool?

Manchester United vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Manchester United vs Liverpool?

The double chance 12 (Manchester United or Liverpool) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Manchester United18th8 pts
Liverpool4th18 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Arsenal 10901 1027
2 Brighton 10712 1922
3 Manchester City 10703 821
4 Liverpool 10532 418
5 Chelsea 10514 316
6 Everton 10442 216
7 Bournemouth 10433 215
8 Brentford 10352 514
9 Leeds 10352 214
10 Aston Villa 10343 -313
11 Tottenham 10334 -112
12 Newcastle 10334 -312
13 Hull City 10253 011
14 Ipswich 10325 -511
15 Fulham 10244 -210
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 -49
17 Coventry 10307 -99
18 Manchester United 10154 -58
19 Sunderland 10226 -98
20 Crystal Palace 10217 -147