Leon vs Necaxa Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 1 Mar 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
LeonDLWDL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
NecaxaDLLDL
Kick-offSun 1 Mar, 02:06
Our tip1 @ 2.12 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
LeonDLWDL
02 Nov 26ACruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26HToluca1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 0Liga MX
18 Oct 26HClub America3 - 5Liga MX
10 Oct 26APuebla1 - 1Liga MX
NecaxaDLLDL
01 Nov 26ASantos Laguna0 - 1Liga MX
24 Oct 26HFC Juarez1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26AGuadalajara Chivas0 - 1Liga MX
17 Oct 26HAtlas0 - 2Liga MX
11 Oct 26ACF Pachuca3 - 3Liga MX

Head to head

Leon 2 · Draws 0 · Necaxa 0 (2 meetings)

18 Aug 26Necaxa1 - 2LeonLiga MX
01 Mar 26Leon2 - 1NecaxaLiga MX

Full head to head: Leon vs Necaxa →

Our prediction

Leon to win

@ 2.12
Double chance
12  •  Leon or Necaxa
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.15Leon
2.88Total
1.73Necaxa

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Leon win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 1 Leon win 9% @ 7.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 2 Necaxa win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 0 Leon win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Leon43%
Draw17%
Necaxa40%

Odds (1X2)

12.12
X3.45
23.25

Leon vs Necaxa preview and result

Leon and Necaxa met in the Liga MX on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:06 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Leon a 43% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Necaxa 40%. Our pick was Leon to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.12. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Leon or Necaxa) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.2 for Leon, 1.7 for Necaxa). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Leon have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Necaxa have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. In their last 2 meetings, Leon won 2, Necaxa won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Leon are 7th with 22 points and Necaxa are 17th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leon vs Necaxa?

Our pre-match prediction is Leon to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.12. Win chances: Leon 43%, draw 17%, Necaxa 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leon vs Necaxa?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Leon vs Necaxa?

Leon vs Necaxa (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:06 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leon vs Necaxa?

The double chance 12 (Leon or Necaxa) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Leon7th22 pts
Necaxa17th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Club America 15852 1529
2 Guadalajara Chivas 15852 1129
3 Cruz Azul 15924 1029
4 Atlas 15834 027
5 Toluca 15663 1024
6 Club Tijuana 15573 422
7 Leon 15645 222
8 Santos Laguna 15717 122
9 Monterrey 14635 521
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 -220
11 Club Queretaro 14626 -320
12 CF Pachuca 15546 619
13 Atletico San Luis 15546 -419
14 Puebla 15447 -616
15 Tigres UANL 15366 -715
16 Atlante FC 15357 -814
17 Necaxa 15249 -1210
18 FC Juarez 152211 -228