Lorient vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat 18 Apr 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
LorientWWLLL
16:00
Sat 18 Apr, 16:00
MarseilleLLWLW
Kick-offSat 18 Apr, 16:00
Our tip2 @ 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
LorientWWLLL
31 Oct 26HStade Brestois 290 - 2Ligue 1
15 Aug 26ASV Elversberg1 - 4Friendlies Clubs
08 Aug 26AAngers1 - 2Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul 26HNantes1 - 0Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul 26AConcarneau2 - 1Friendlies Clubs
MarseilleLLWLW
01 Nov 26HToulouse2 - 0Ligue 1
22 Oct 26ASturm Graz0 - 1UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26AAngers5 - 2Ligue 1
20 Sep 26HParis Saint Germain1 - 2Ligue 1
30 Aug 26AMonaco0 - 2Ligue 1

Head to head

Full head to head: Lorient vs Marseille →

Our prediction

Marseille to win

@ 1.72
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or Marseille
@ 1.20
Confidence
70%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 59%Under 2.5: 41%
Expected goals
1.11Lorient
3.07Total
1.96Marseille

Win probability

Lorient17%
Draw19%
Marseille64%

Odds (1X2)

14.40
X3.85
21.72

Lorient vs Marseille preview

Lorient host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (France) on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Lorient a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Marseille 64%. That makes our pick Marseille to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.72. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Marseille) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.1 for Lorient, 2.0 for Marseille). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Lorient have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Marseille have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 7. In the table, Lorient are 11th with 12 points and Marseille are 6th with 15 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lorient vs Marseille?

Our prediction is Marseille to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.72. Win chances: Lorient 17%, draw 19%, Marseille 64%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lorient vs Marseille?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is Lorient vs Marseille?

Lorient vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Lorient vs Marseille?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Marseille) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Lorient11th12 pts
Marseille6th15 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 1120
2 Lille 9531 618
3 Lyon 9522 817
4 Paris FC 9522 617
5 Rennes 9513 116
6 Marseille 9504 715
7 Monaco 9432 215
8 Nice 9423 114
9 Lens 9414 313
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 412
11 Lorient 9333 -112
12 Toulouse 9243 -110
13 Strasbourg 9315 -210
14 Auxerre 9315 -1010
15 Angers 9225 -88
16 Estac Troyes 9225 -98
17 Le Mans 9144 -77
18 Le Havre 9027 -112