Metz vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sun 19 Apr 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
MetzDDLLL
1 - 2
71' · HT 1 - 1
Paris FCLLWWW
Kick-offSun 19 Apr, 16:15
Our tip2 @ 2.08
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MetzDDLLL
30 Oct 26HPAU1 - 3Ligue 2
12 Oct 26ADijon2 - 4Ligue 2
14 Sep 26ARED Star FC 930 - 1Ligue 2
22 Aug 26HLaval1 - 1Ligue 2
14 Aug 26AGrenoble0 - 0Ligue 2
Paris FCLLWWW
01 Nov 26HMonaco3 - 1Ligue 1
19 Sep 26HStrasbourg2 - 1Ligue 1
30 Aug 26HNice3 - 0Ligue 1
15 Aug 26AAngers2 - 3Friendlies Clubs
08 Aug 26AFSV Mainz 050 - 4Friendlies Clubs

Head to head

Full head to head: Metz vs Paris FC →

Our prediction

Paris FC to win

@ 2.08
Double chance
12  •  Metz or Paris FC
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 57%Under 2.5: 43%
Expected goals
0.91Metz
2.95Total
2.04Paris FC

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
0 – 1 Paris FC win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 2 Paris FC win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 0 Metz win 7% @ 9.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Metz33%
Draw18%
Paris FC49%

Odds (1X2)

13.40
X3.35
22.08

Metz vs Paris FC preview

Metz v Paris FC in the Ligue 1 is under way – the score is 1 - 2 (71').

Our model gives Metz a 33% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Paris FC 49%. That makes our pick Paris FC to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.08. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Metz or Paris FC) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (0.9 for Metz, 2.0 for Paris FC). The chance of three or more goals is 57%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Metz have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Paris FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Metz vs Paris FC?

Our prediction is Paris FC to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.08. Win chances: Metz 33%, draw 18%, Paris FC 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Metz vs Paris FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 57%).

What time is Metz vs Paris FC?

Metz vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Metz vs Paris FC?

The double chance 12 (Metz or Paris FC) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Metz–
Paris FC4th17 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 1120
2 Lille 9531 618
3 Lyon 9522 817
4 Paris FC 9522 617
5 Rennes 9513 116
6 Marseille 9504 715
7 Monaco 9432 215
8 Nice 9423 114
9 Lens 9414 313
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 412
11 Lorient 9333 -112
12 Toulouse 9243 -110
13 Strasbourg 9315 -210
14 Auxerre 9315 -1010
15 Angers 9225 -88
16 Estac Troyes 9225 -98
17 Le Mans 9144 -77
18 Le Havre 9027 -112