Kenya : FKF Premier League
Recent form
Mara SugarWDDLW
GOR MahiaLLWWDHead to head
Mara Sugar 0 · Draws 1 · GOR Mahia 3 (4 meetings)
Our prediction
GOR Mahia to win
Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Mara Sugar vs GOR Mahia preview
Mara Sugar host GOR Mahia in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Mara Sugar a 34% chance of winning, the draw 11% and GOR Mahia 55%. That makes our pick GOR Mahia to win with 65% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Mara Sugar or GOR Mahia) covers two of the three results.
Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (0.8 for Mara Sugar, 1.2 for GOR Mahia). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence).
Form and head to head
Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 5. GOR Mahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-D), scoring 8 and conceding 10. In their last 4 meetings, Mara Sugar won 0, GOR Mahia won 3 and 1 ended level. In the table, Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points and GOR Mahia are 1st with 13 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mara Sugar vs GOR Mahia?
Our prediction is GOR Mahia to win (65% confidence). Win chances: Mara Sugar 34%, draw 11%, GOR Mahia 55%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mara Sugar vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).
What time is Mara Sugar vs GOR Mahia?
Mara Sugar vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Mara Sugar vs GOR Mahia?
The double chance 12 (Mara Sugar or GOR Mahia) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | KCB |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kenya Police |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Shabana |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Mara Sugar |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | 3K |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bandari |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Posta Rangers FC |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Tusker |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Migori Youth |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | APS Bomet |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nairobi United |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Mathare United |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Homeboyz |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
KCBvs
Posta Rangers FC0 - 1Sat 13:00
Kariobangi Sharksvs
Homeboyz2 - 2Sat 13:00
Ulinzi Starsvs
Mathare United2 - 1Sun 12:00
Sofapakavs
Shabana1 - 1Sun 12:00
APS Bometvs
AFC Leopards2 - 1Sun 13:00
Bandarivs
Tusker1 - 0Sun 13:00
Bidco Unitedvs
Murang'a SEAL0 - 2Sun 14:00
Nairobi Unitedvs
Police0 - 0Wed 13:00
Sofapakavs
KCB1 - 2Wed 14:00
Policevs
Kariobangi Sharks1 - 1Other matches on Sun 24 May
Brightonvs
Manchester United0 - 316:00
Burnleyvs
Wolves1 - 116:00
Crystal Palacevs
Arsenal1 - 216:00
Fulhamvs
Newcastle2 - 016:00
Liverpoolvs
Brentford1 - 116:00
Manchester Cityvs
Aston Villa1 - 216:00
Nottingham Forestvs
Bournemouth1 - 116:00
Sunderlandvs
Chelsea2 - 116:00
Tottenhamvs
Everton1 - 016:00
West Hamvs
Leeds3 - 0

GOR Mahia
Kenya Police
Mara Sugar
3K
Migori Youth
Mombasa Elite