Mazatlán vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX · Thu 23 Apr 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Mazatlán
4 - 3
Full time · HT 0 - 1
TolucaDDDDW
Kick-offThu 23 Apr, 02:00
Our tip2 @ 1.41 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chanceX2 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Mazatlán

No matches found.

TolucaDDDDW
08 Nov 26HMonterrey4 - 0Liga MX
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Mazatlán vs Toluca →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.41
Double chance
X2  •  Draw or Toluca
@ 1.10
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.60
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Tolucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.45Mazatlán
2.89Total
1.44Toluca

Possible correct scores

0 – 2 Toluca win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Toluca win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 7% @ 8.50
0 – 1 Toluca win 7% @ 8.50
1 – 3 Toluca win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 4 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Mazatlán11%
Draw20%
Toluca69%

Odds (1X2)

16.25
X5.00
21.41

Mazatlán vs Toluca preview and result

Mazatlán and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 3, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Mazatlán a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toluca 69%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.41. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.10.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.5 for Mazatlán, 1.4 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Mazatlán vs Toluca?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.41. Win chances: Mazatlán 11%, draw 20%, Toluca 69%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mazatlán vs Toluca?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Mazatlán vs Toluca?

Mazatlán vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Mazatlán vs Toluca?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.10. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Mazatlán–
Toluca4th27 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111