Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Liga MX · Thu 23 Apr 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
NecaxaLLDLW
0 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
Kick-offThu 23 Apr, 04:10
Our tip2 @ 1.58 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chanceX2 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
NecaxaLLDLW
07 Nov 26HClub Tijuana1 - 0Liga MX
01 Nov 26ASantos Laguna0 - 1Liga MX
24 Oct 26HFC Juarez1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26AGuadalajara Chivas0 - 1Liga MX
17 Oct 26HAtlas0 - 2Liga MX
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
01 Nov 26HAtlante FC4 - 2Liga MX
25 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 0Liga MX
21 Oct 26HNecaxa1 - 0Liga MX
17 Oct 26HTigres UANL1 - 1Liga MX
11 Oct 26AAtlas1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Necaxa 3 · Draws 6 · Guadalajara Chivas 13 (22 meetings, last 10 below)

21 Oct 26Guadalajara Chivas1 - 0NecaxaLiga MX
23 Apr 26Necaxa0 - 0Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
24 Sep 25Guadalajara Chivas3 - 1NecaxaLiga MX
18 Jan 25Necaxa3 - 2Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
23 Oct 24Guadalajara Chivas3 - 2NecaxaLiga MX
21 Feb 24Necaxa1 - 0Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
14 Jul 23Guadalajara Chivas2 - 0NecaxaLiga MX
08 Apr 23Guadalajara Chivas1 - 0NecaxaLiga MX
20 Aug 22Necaxa0 - 4Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX
30 Apr 22Necaxa0 - 1Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX

Full head to head: Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas →

Our prediction

Guadalajara Chivas to win

@ 1.58
Double chance
X2  •  Draw or Guadalajara Chivas
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.62
Confidence
85%

Our record

Our tips on Necaxalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 59%Under 2.5: 41%
Expected goals
0.92Necaxa
3.05Total
2.13Guadalajara Chivas

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Guadalajara Chivas win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
0 – 1 Guadalajara Chivas win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 2 Guadalajara Chivas win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 3 Guadalajara Chivas win 6% @ 9.50

Final score: 0 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Necaxa6%
Draw19%
Guadalajara Chivas75%

Odds (1X2)

15.00
X4.20
21.58

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and result

Necaxa and Guadalajara Chivas met in the Liga MX on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 04:10 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Necaxa a 6% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Guadalajara Chivas 75%. Our pick was Guadalajara Chivas to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.58. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Guadalajara Chivas) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (0.9 for Necaxa, 2.1 for Guadalajara Chivas). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 0 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Necaxa have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-W), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Guadalajara Chivas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Necaxa won 3, Guadalajara Chivas won 13 and 6 ended level. In the table, Necaxa are 17th with 13 points and Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Our pre-match prediction is Guadalajara Chivas to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.58. Win chances: Necaxa 6%, draw 19%, Guadalajara Chivas 75%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) was played on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 04:10 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Guadalajara Chivas) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Necaxa17th13 pts
Guadalajara Chivas3rd30 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111