Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar Prediction

A League · Sat 14 Feb 2026
Australia flag Australia : A League
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Kick-offSat 14 Feb, 07:00
Our tip1 @ 1.63 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Melbourne VictoryLDLDL
04 Nov 26HPersib Bandung1 - 2AFC Champions League Two
01 Nov 26HCentral Coast Mariners1 - 1A-League
28 Oct 26APersib Bandung0 - 2AFC Champions League Two
24 Oct 26HMelbourne City1 - 1A-League
18 Oct 26AWellington Phoenix1 - 2A-League
Brisbane Roar

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar →

Our prediction

Melbourne Victory to win

@ 1.63
Double chance
1X  •  Melbourne Victory or Draw
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips in A Leaguelast 30 days
9/2339%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.44Melbourne Victory
2.52Total
1.08Brisbane Roar

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Melbourne Victory win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50 ✓ Final score
2 – 0 Melbourne Victory win 8% @ 7.50
3 – 1 Melbourne Victory win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Melbourne Victory63%
Draw24%
Brisbane Roar13%

Odds (1X2)

11.63
X3.85
25.10

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar preview and result

Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar met in the A League on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 07:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Melbourne Victory a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brisbane Roar 13%. Our pick was Melbourne Victory to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.63. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Melbourne Victory or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.4 for Melbourne Victory, 1.1 for Brisbane Roar). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Melbourne Victory have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. In the table, Melbourne Victory are 9th with 2 points and Brisbane Roar are 3rd with 7 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

Our pre-match prediction is Melbourne Victory to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.63. Win chances: Melbourne Victory 63%, draw 24%, Brisbane Roar 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar (A League) was played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 07:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?

The double chance 1X (Melbourne Victory or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

A League table

Melbourne Victory9th2 pts
Brisbane Roar3rd7 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Wellington Phoenix 4310 610
2 Sydney 4211 37
3 Brisbane Roar 3210 27
4 Melbourne City 4211 07
5 Perth Glory 4202 36
6 Western Sydney Wanderers 4121 25
7 Macarthur 4121 05
8 Auckland 4121 -15
9 Melbourne Victory 3021 -12
10 Newcastle Jets 4022 -42
11 Central Coast Mariners 4022 -52
12 Adelaide United 2002 -50