Merthyr Town vs Buxton Prediction

National League North · Sat 28 Feb 2026
England flag England : National League North
Merthyr TownDLLDW
16:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 28 Feb
BuxtonDWWWD
Kick-offSat 28 Feb, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 2.10
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Merthyr TownDLLDW
07 Nov 26HHebburn Town4 - 1National League North
31 Oct 26ARadcliffe3 - 3National League North
27 Oct 26AOxford City0 - 3National League North
24 Oct 26HMorecambe1 - 3National League North
17 Oct 26HKing's Lynn Town1 - 1National League North
BuxtonDWWWD
07 Nov 26AScarborough Athletic2 - 2National League North
31 Oct 26HMarine4 - 2National League North
27 Oct 26HHarborough Town3 - 0National League North
24 Oct 26AChorley3 - 2National League North
17 Oct 26HWorksop Town2 - 2National League North

Head to head

Full head to head: Merthyr Town vs Buxton →

Our prediction

Merthyr Town to win

@ 2.10
Double chance
12  •  Merthyr Town or Buxton
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.40
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Merthyr Townlast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips on Buxtonlast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in National League Northlast 30 days
20/5139%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 68%Under 2.5: 32%
Expected goals
3.28Merthyr Town
3.53Total
0.25Buxton

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Merthyr Town win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
1 – 2 Buxton win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 9.50
1 – 0 Merthyr Town win 6% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Merthyr Town49%
Draw17%
Buxton34%

Odds (1X2)

12.10
X3.55
22.90

Merthyr Town vs Buxton preview

Merthyr Town host Buxton in the National League North (England) on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Merthyr Town a 49% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Buxton 34%. That makes our pick Merthyr Town to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.10. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Merthyr Town or Buxton) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.5 goals (3.3 for Merthyr Town, 0.3 for Buxton). The chance of three or more goals is 68%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence).

Form and head to head

Merthyr Town have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 11. Buxton have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-D), scoring 14 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Merthyr Town vs Buxton?

Our prediction is Merthyr Town to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.10. Win chances: Merthyr Town 49%, draw 17%, Buxton 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Merthyr Town vs Buxton?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 68%).

What time is Merthyr Town vs Buxton?

Merthyr Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Merthyr Town vs Buxton?

The double chance 12 (Merthyr Town or Buxton) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.