Monterrey vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 15 Feb 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
MonterreyWWLDL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
LeonDLWDL
Kick-offSun 15 Feb, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 1.54 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MonterreyWWLDL
08 Nov 26AToluca0 - 4Liga MX
01 Nov 26HClub Tijuana3 - 3Liga MX
25 Oct 26HGuadalajara Chivas0 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26APuebla4 - 1Liga MX
19 Oct 26HCF Pachuca2 - 1Liga MX
LeonDLWDL
02 Nov 26ACruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26HToluca1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 0Liga MX
18 Oct 26HClub America3 - 5Liga MX
10 Oct 26APuebla1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Monterrey vs Leon →

Our prediction

Monterrey to win

@ 1.54
Double chance
1X  •  Monterrey or Draw
@ 1.14
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Monterreylast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips on Leonlast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.93Monterrey
3.02Total
1.09Leon

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Monterrey win 9% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Monterrey win 9% @ 7.00 ✓ Final score
2 – 0 Monterrey win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
3 – 1 Monterrey win 6% @ 9.50

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Monterrey64%
Draw22%
Leon14%

Odds (1X2)

11.54
X4.20
25.60

Monterrey vs Leon preview and result

Monterrey and Leon met in the Liga MX on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Monterrey a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leon 14%. Our pick was Monterrey to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.54. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Monterrey or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.9 for Monterrey, 1.1 for Leon). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Monterrey have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-D-L), scoring 9 and conceding 10. Leon have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. In the table, Monterrey are 10th with 21 points and Leon are 7th with 23 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Monterrey vs Leon?

Our pre-match prediction is Monterrey to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.54. Win chances: Monterrey 64%, draw 22%, Leon 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monterrey vs Leon?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Monterrey vs Leon?

Monterrey vs Leon (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Monterrey vs Leon?

The double chance 1X (Monterrey or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Monterrey10th21 pts
Leon7th23 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111