Toluca vs Club Tijuana Prediction

Liga MX · Sat 14 Feb 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
TolucaDDDDW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Club TijuanaDWDDL
Kick-offSat 14 Feb, 04:05
Our tip1 @ 1.25 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
TolucaDDDDW
08 Nov 26HMonterrey4 - 0Liga MX
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX
Club TijuanaDWDDL
07 Nov 26ANecaxa0 - 1Liga MX
01 Nov 26AMonterrey3 - 3Liga MX
29 Oct 26AClub America1 - 1Liga MX
26 Oct 26HSantos Laguna4 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26AToluca2 - 2Liga MX

Head to head

Toluca 11 · Draws 4 · Club Tijuana 10 (25 meetings, last 10 below)

22 Oct 26Toluca2 - 2Club TijuanaLiga MX
14 Feb 26Toluca1 - 0Club TijuanaLiga MX
23 Oct 25Club Tijuana0 - 0TolucaLiga MX
11 Jan 25Club Tijuana2 - 4TolucaLiga MX
14 Sep 24Toluca4 - 0Club TijuanaLiga MX
25 Feb 24Toluca2 - 0Club TijuanaLiga MX
16 Sep 23Club Tijuana2 - 1TolucaLiga MX
18 Mar 23Club Tijuana3 - 3TolucaLiga MX
07 Aug 22Toluca3 - 1Club TijuanaLiga MX
02 Mar 22Toluca1 - 2Club TijuanaLiga MX

Full head to head: Toluca vs Club Tijuana →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Tolucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Club Tijuanalast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.46Toluca
2.92Total
1.46Club Tijuana

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Toluca win 10% @ 6.25
3 – 0 Toluca win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 0 Toluca win 8% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Toluca win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
3 – 1 Toluca win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Toluca68%
Draw20%
Club Tijuana12%

Odds (1X2)

11.25
X5.50
212.00

Toluca vs Club Tijuana preview and result

Toluca and Club Tijuana met in the Liga MX on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 04:05 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Toluca a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Club Tijuana 12%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.25. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.5 for Toluca, 1.5 for Club Tijuana). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Club Tijuana have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-D-L), scoring 10 and conceding 8. In their last 10 meetings, Toluca won 11, Club Tijuana won 10 and 4 ended level. In the table, Toluca are 4th with 27 points and Club Tijuana are 9th with 22 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.25. Win chances: Toluca 68%, draw 20%, Club Tijuana 12%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Toluca vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) was played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 04:05 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Toluca4th27 pts
Club Tijuana9th22 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111