Portugal : Primeira Liga
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NacionalLLLWL
AlvercaWWLLLHead to head
Our prediction
Nacional to win
@ 2.60Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 1 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Nacional vs Alverca preview and result
Nacional and Alverca met in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 3, 0 - 3 at half time.
Our model gives Nacional a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alverca 35%. Our pick was Nacional to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.60. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional or Alverca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.
Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.6 for Nacional, 1.3 for Alverca). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In the table, Nacional are 16th with 7 points and Alverca are 11th with 12 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Nacional vs Alverca?
Our pre-match prediction is Nacional to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.60. Win chances: Nacional 47%, draw 18%, Alverca 35%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Alverca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).
What time is Nacional vs Alverca?
Nacional vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) was played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Nacional vs Alverca?
The double chance 12 (Nacional or Alverca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto |
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Braga |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 | Nacional |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
Moreirensevs
Benfica0 - 4Thu 20:15
Estrelavs
SC Braga2 - 1Sat 18:00
Casa Piavs
FC Porto1 - 4Sat 20:30
Academico Viseuvs
Vitória SC2 - 1Sun 18:00
Aroucavs
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Benficavs
GIL Vicente3 - 1Sun 20:30
Famalicaovs
Sporting CP1 - 1Mon 18:45
Rio Avevs
Estrela3 - 3Mon 20:15
Moreirensevs
Maritimo3 - 1Mon 20:45
SC Bragavs
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QPR1 - 113:00
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Alverca
Nacional