Nacional vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 12 Sep 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
NacionalLLLWL
1 - 3
Full time · HT 0 - 3
AlvercaWWLLL
Kick-offSat 12 Sep, 15:30
Our tip1 @ 2.60 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
NacionalLLLWL
01 Nov 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HSC Braga1 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ASanjoanense0 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ARio Ave2 - 3Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
AlvercaWWLLL
02 Nov 26ABenfica0 - 1Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ATondela0 - 2Taça de Portugal
12 Oct 26AFamalicao4 - 1Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HRio Ave1 - 0Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Nacional vs Alverca →

Our prediction

Nacional to win

@ 2.60
Double chance
12  •  Nacional or Alverca
@ 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Nacionallast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Alvercalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.60Nacional
2.90Total
1.30Alverca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.80
0 – 1 Alverca win 8% @ 8.00
1 – 0 Nacional win 8% @ 8.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Alverca win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 1 Nacional win 7% @ 9.50 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Nacional47%
Draw18%
Alverca35%

Odds (1X2)

12.60
X3.10
22.62

Nacional vs Alverca preview and result

Nacional and Alverca met in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 3, 0 - 3 at half time.

Our model gives Nacional a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alverca 35%. Our pick was Nacional to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.60. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nacional or Alverca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.6 for Nacional, 1.3 for Alverca). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. Alverca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In the table, Nacional are 16th with 7 points and Alverca are 11th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Nacional vs Alverca?

Our pre-match prediction is Nacional to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.60. Win chances: Nacional 47%, draw 18%, Alverca 35%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Alverca?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Nacional vs Alverca?

Nacional vs Alverca (Primeira Liga) was played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Nacional vs Alverca?

The double chance 12 (Nacional or Alverca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Nacional16th7 pts
Alverca11th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142