Rio Ave vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 14 Sep 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Rio AveLWWLL
3 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 1
EstrelaLLWLL
Kick-offMon 14 Sep, 18:45
Our tip2 @ 2.60 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Rio AveLWWLL
01 Nov 26AAcademico Viseu1 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ALouletano1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HNacional3 - 2Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26AAlverca0 - 1Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Rio Ave vs Estrela →

Our prediction

Estrela to win

@ 2.60
Double chance
12  •  Rio Ave or Estrela
@ 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 64%Under 2.5: 36%
Expected goals
0.50Rio Ave
3.30Total
2.80Estrela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Estrela win 9% @ 7.50
1 – 0 Rio Ave win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Estrela win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick

Final score: 3 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Rio Ave37%
Draw18%
Estrela45%

Odds (1X2)

12.62
X3.10
22.60

Rio Ave vs Estrela preview and result

Rio Ave and Estrela met in the Primeira Liga on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 3, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Rio Ave a 37% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Estrela 45%. Our pick was Estrela to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.60. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.

Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (0.5 for Rio Ave, 2.8 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 64%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 6 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Rio Ave have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Rio Ave are 17th with 7 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Our pre-match prediction is Estrela to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.60. Win chances: Rio Ave 37%, draw 18%, Estrela 45%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 64%).

What time is Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Rio Ave vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) was played on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

The double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Rio Ave17th7 pts
Estrela12th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142