Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Paulista A1 · Mon 2 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Paulista A1
PalmeirasWLWDW
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offMon 2 Mar, 00:30
Our tip1 @ 1.71 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PalmeirasWLWDW
01 Nov 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Copa Do Brasil
28 Oct 26ASantos0 - 0Serie A
24 Oct 26HRB Bragantino2 - 0Serie A
22 Oct 26HFluminense0 - 1CONMEBOL Libertadores
17 Oct 26AAtletico Paranaense2 - 0Serie A
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Palmeiras 22 · Draws 15 · Sao Paulo 15 (52 meetings, last 10 below)

12 Sep 26Palmeiras2 - 0Sao PauloSerie A
22 Mar 26Sao Paulo0 - 1PalmeirasSerie A
01 Mar 26Palmeiras2 - 1Sao PauloPaulista - A1
24 Jan 26Palmeiras3 - 1Sao PauloPaulista - A1
05 Oct 25Sao Paulo2 - 3PalmeirasSerie A
11 May 25Palmeiras1 - 0Sao PauloSerie A
11 Mar 25Palmeiras1 - 0Sao PauloPaulista - A1
16 Feb 25Palmeiras0 - 0Sao PauloPaulista - A1
18 Aug 24Palmeiras2 - 1Sao PauloSerie A
29 Apr 24Sao Paulo0 - 0PalmeirasSerie A

Full head to head: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Palmeiras to win

@ 1.71
Double chance
1X  •  Palmeiras or Draw
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.77
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Palmeiraslast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.25Palmeiras
2.50Total
1.25Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Palmeiras win 12% @ 5.25
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
2 – 0 Palmeiras win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Palmeiras win 10% @ 6.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Palmeiras win 6% @ 11.00 Our pick

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Palmeiras71%
Draw17%
Sao Paulo12%

Odds (1X2)

11.71
X3.50
25.00

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo preview and result

Palmeiras and Sao Paulo met in the Paulista A1 on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Palmeiras a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sao Paulo 12%. Our pick was Palmeiras to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.71. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Palmeiras or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.3 for Palmeiras, 1.3 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Palmeiras have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 1. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Palmeiras won 22, Sao Paulo won 15 and 15 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Our pre-match prediction is Palmeiras to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.71. Win chances: Palmeiras 71%, draw 17%, Sao Paulo 12%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo (Paulista A1) was played on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 1X (Palmeiras or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.