Pasaia KE vs Derio Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Sat 14 Feb 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
Pasaia KE
16:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 14 Feb
DerioDLWWL
Kick-offSat 14 Feb, 16:30
Our tip2 @ 2.50
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Pasaia KE

No matches found.

DerioDLWWL
07 Nov 26HR. Union B2 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26APasaia KE3 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HLagun Onak2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26ATouring0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26ADurango1 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4

Head to head

Full head to head: Pasaia KE vs Derio →

Our prediction

Derio to win

@ 2.50
Double chance
12  •  Pasaia KE or Derio
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Deriolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
19/3653%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 39%Under 2.5: 61%
Expected goals
0.99Pasaia KE
2.24Total
1.25Derio

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.00
0 – 0 Draw 12% @ 5.50
0 – 1 Derio win 12% @ 5.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Pasaia KE win 11% @ 6.00
1 – 2 Derio win 8% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Pasaia KE30%
Draw19%
Derio51%

Odds (1X2)

12.80
X2.75
22.50

Pasaia KE vs Derio preview

Pasaia KE host Derio in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 (Spain) on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Pasaia KE a 30% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Derio 51%. That makes our pick Derio to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.50. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Pasaia KE or Derio) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (1.0 for Pasaia KE, 1.3 for Derio). The chance of three or more goals is 39%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Derio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pasaia KE vs Derio?

Our prediction is Derio to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.50. Win chances: Pasaia KE 30%, draw 19%, Derio 51%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pasaia KE vs Derio?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 39%).

What time is Pasaia KE vs Derio?

Pasaia KE vs Derio (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Pasaia KE vs Derio?

The double chance 12 (Pasaia KE or Derio) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.