Penarol vs Cerro Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 21 Mar 2026

Uruguay : Primera División Apertura

PenarolDLDLD

3 - 1

Full time · HT 2 - 1

Cerro

Kick-offSat 21 Mar, 23:30

Our tip1 @ 1.37 ✓

GoalsUnder 2.5

Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓

BTTSNo ✗

Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

PenarolDLDLD

31 Oct 26HWanderers1 - 1Primera División Apertura

27 Oct 26HAtletico Torque0 - 2Copa Uruguay

23 Oct 26AJuventud0 - 0Primera División Apertura

18 Oct 26ALiverpool Montevideo0 - 1Primera División Apertura

10 Oct 26HProgreso1 - 1Primera División Apertura

Cerro

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Penarol vs Cerro →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 1.37

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.42

Confidence

85%

Our record

Our tips on Penarollast 20 tipped matches

9/2045%

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days

14/3244%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Confidence

80%

Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%

Expected goals

1.50Penarol

2.00Total

0.50Cerro

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Penarol win 16% @ 4.00 Our pick

2 – 0 Penarol win 14% @ 4.50

3 – 0 Penarol win 9% @ 7.00

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00

2 – 1 Penarol win 9% @ 7.50

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Penarol75%

Draw17%

Cerro8%

Odds (1X2)

11.37

X3.95

29.10

Penarol vs Cerro preview and result

Penarol and Cerro met in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Penarol a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cerro 8%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.37. The pick came in ✓.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (1.5 for Penarol, 0.5 for Cerro). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Penarol have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-D-L-D), scoring 2 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Penarol vs Cerro?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.37. Win chances: Penarol 75%, draw 17%, Cerro 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penarol vs Cerro?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Penarol vs Cerro?

Penarol vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) was played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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