Penarol vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting preview and result

Penarol and Defensor Sporting met in the Primera División Apertura on Monday 4 May 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Penarol a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensor Sporting 9%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.71. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Penarol or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.12.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (1.0 for Penarol, 1.0 for Defensor Sporting). The chance of three or more goals is 31%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.71. Win chances: Penarol 68%, draw 23%, Defensor Sporting 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 31%).

What time is Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?

Penarol vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) was played on Monday 4 May 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?

The double chance 1X (Penarol or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.12. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.