Pistoiese vs Progresso Prediction

Serie D Girone D · Sat 28 Feb 2026
Italy flag Italy : Serie D Girone D
Pistoiese
1 - 0
30'
Progresso
Kick-offSat 28 Feb, 15:00
Our tip1
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Pistoiese vs Progresso →

Our prediction

Pistoiese to win

Double chance
12  •  Pistoiese or Progresso
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips in Serie D Girone Dlast 30 days
20/4743%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 40%Under 2.5: 60%
Expected goals
1.59Pistoiese
2.30Total
0.71Progresso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Pistoiese win 16% Our pick
2 – 0 Pistoiese win 13%
1 – 1 Draw 11%
0 – 0 Draw 10%
2 – 1 Pistoiese win 9%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Pistoiese68%
Draw11%
Progresso21%

Pistoiese vs Progresso preview

Pistoiese v Progresso in the Serie D Girone D is under way – the score is 1 - 0 (30').

Our model gives Pistoiese a 68% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Progresso 21%. That makes our pick Pistoiese to win with 75% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Pistoiese or Progresso) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.6 for Pistoiese, 0.7 for Progresso). The chance of three or more goals is 40%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pistoiese vs Progresso?

Our prediction is Pistoiese to win (75% confidence). Win chances: Pistoiese 68%, draw 11%, Progresso 21%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pistoiese vs Progresso?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 40%).

What time is Pistoiese vs Progresso?

Pistoiese vs Progresso (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Pistoiese vs Progresso?

The double chance 12 (Pistoiese or Progresso) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.