Puebla vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX · Sat 11 Apr 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
PueblaDDLLL
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
LeonDLWDL
Kick-offSat 11 Apr, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 2.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PueblaDDLLL
31 Oct 26HU.N.A.M. - Pumas1 - 2Liga MX
25 Oct 26AAtlas3 - 4Liga MX
22 Oct 26HMonterrey1 - 4Liga MX
17 Oct 26AClub Tijuana0 - 0Liga MX
10 Oct 26HLeon1 - 1Liga MX
LeonDLWDL
02 Nov 26ACruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26HToluca1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 0Liga MX
18 Oct 26HClub America3 - 5Liga MX
10 Oct 26APuebla1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Puebla vs Leon →

Our prediction

Puebla to win

@ 2.30
Double chance
12  •  Puebla or Leon
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.57
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.45Puebla
2.90Total
1.45Leon

Win probability

Puebla46%
Draw17%
Leon37%

Odds (1X2)

12.30
X3.50
22.88

Puebla vs Leon preview and result

Puebla and Leon met in the Liga MX on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Puebla a 46% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leon 37%. Our pick was Puebla to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.30. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Puebla or Leon) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.5 for Puebla, 1.5 for Leon). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Puebla have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Leon have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. In the table, Puebla are 14th with 16 points and Leon are 7th with 22 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Puebla vs Leon?

Our pre-match prediction is Puebla to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.30. Win chances: Puebla 46%, draw 17%, Leon 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Puebla vs Leon?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Puebla vs Leon?

Puebla vs Leon (Liga MX) was played on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Puebla vs Leon?

The double chance 12 (Puebla or Leon) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Puebla14th16 pts
Leon7th22 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Club America 15852 1529
2 Guadalajara Chivas 15852 1129
3 Cruz Azul 15924 1029
4 Atlas 15834 027
5 Toluca 15663 1024
6 Club Tijuana 15573 422
7 Leon 15645 222
8 Santos Laguna 15717 122
9 Monterrey 14635 521
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 -220
11 Club Queretaro 14626 -320
12 CF Pachuca 15546 619
13 Atletico San Luis 15546 -419
14 Puebla 15447 -616
15 Tigres UANL 15366 -715
16 Atlante FC 15357 -814
17 Necaxa 15249 -1210
18 FC Juarez 152211 -228