Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction

La Liga · Sat 11 Apr 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
Real SociedadWWWLD
0 - 1
9'
AlavesWLLDL
Kick-offSat 11 Apr, 13:00
Our tip1 @ 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Real SociedadWWWLD
05 Nov 26HLyon1 - 1UEFA Europa League
01 Nov 26AAthletic Club1 - 2La Liga
22 Oct 26ALillestrom6 - 0UEFA Europa League
11 Oct 26HDeportivo La Coruna3 - 2La Liga
20 Sep 26AValencia3 - 2La Liga
AlavesWLLDL
31 Oct 26ABarcelona1 - 6La Liga
19 Sep 26AAthletic Club0 - 0La Liga
15 Sep 26HValencia0 - 1La Liga
12 Sep 26ARacing Santander1 - 2La Liga
06 Sep 26HOsasuna5 - 2La Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Real Sociedad vs Alaves →

Our prediction

Real Sociedad to win

@ 1.71
Backup prediction
1X  •  Real Sociedad or Draw
@ 1.17
Confidence
80%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.39Real Sociedad
2.77Total
1.38Alaves

Win probability

Real Sociedad73%
Draw16%
Alaves11%

Odds (1X2)

11.71
X3.65
24.80

Real Sociedad vs Alaves preview

Real Sociedad v Alaves in the La Liga is under way – the score is 0 - 1 (9').

Our model gives Real Sociedad a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Alaves 11%. That makes our pick Real Sociedad to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.71. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Real Sociedad or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.4 for Real Sociedad, 1.4 for Alaves). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Real Sociedad have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-L-D), scoring 14 and conceding 7. Alaves have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-L-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 11. In the table, Real Sociedad are 5th with 19 points and Alaves are 11th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

Our prediction is Real Sociedad to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.71. Win chances: Real Sociedad 73%, draw 16%, Alaves 11%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

Real Sociedad vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Real Sociedad vs Alaves?

The double chance 1X (Real Sociedad or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Real Sociedad5th19 pts
Alaves11th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 111001 3430
2 Atletico Madrid 11911 1428
3 Real Madrid 11902 1827
4 Real Betis 11722 323
5 Real Sociedad 11614 019
6 Sevilla 11524 -217
7 Athletic Club 10433 415
8 Deportivo La Coruna 11353 114
9 Villarreal 11335 012
10 Celta Vigo 11263 012
11 Alaves 11335 -212
12 Rayo Vallecano 10334 -512
13 Getafe 11335 -812
14 Espanyol 11326 -111
15 Osasuna 11326 -1111
16 Racing Santander 11326 -1411
17 Elche 11245 -410
18 Levante 11245 -510
19 Valencia 11236 -99
20 Malaga 11056 -135