Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Sat 11 Apr 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
SevillaLDWWL
20:00
Sat 11 Apr, 20:00
Atletico MadridWDWWL
Kick-offSat 11 Apr, 20:00
Our tip2 @ 2.34
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
SevillaLDWWL
01 Nov 26AGetafe1 - 3La Liga
29 Oct 26AHortaleza3 - 0Copa Del Rey
26 Oct 26HOsasuna2 - 0La Liga
12 Oct 26ALevante3 - 3La Liga
02 Oct 26HAston Villa1 - 3Friendlies Clubs
Atletico MadridWDWWL
03 Nov 26HBayern München0 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26ALevante2 - 0La Liga
24 Oct 26HDeportivo La Coruna1 - 0La Liga
20 Oct 26AVfB Stuttgart1 - 1UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26AEspanyol1 - 0La Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid →

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid to win

@ 2.34
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or Atletico Madrid
@ 1.36
Confidence
60%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.06Sevilla
2.78Total
1.72Atletico Madrid

Win probability

Sevilla29%
Draw18%
Atletico Madrid53%

Odds (1X2)

13.10
X3.15
22.34

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid preview

Sevilla host Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Spain) on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Sevilla a 29% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Madrid 53%. That makes our pick Atletico Madrid to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.34. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Atletico Madrid) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.1 for Sevilla, 1.7 for Atletico Madrid). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Sevilla have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-W-L), scoring 10 and conceding 9. Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 3. In the table, Sevilla are 6th with 17 points and Atletico Madrid are 2nd with 28 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction is Atletico Madrid to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.34. Win chances: Sevilla 29%, draw 18%, Atletico Madrid 53%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Atletico Madrid) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Sevilla6th17 pts
Atletico Madrid2nd28 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 111001 3430
2 Atletico Madrid 11911 1428
3 Real Madrid 11902 1827
4 Real Betis 11722 323
5 Real Sociedad 11614 019
6 Sevilla 11524 -217
7 Athletic Club 10433 415
8 Deportivo La Coruna 11353 114
9 Villarreal 11335 012
10 Celta Vigo 11263 012
11 Alaves 11335 -212
12 Rayo Vallecano 10334 -512
13 Getafe 11335 -812
14 Espanyol 11326 -111
15 Osasuna 11326 -1111
16 Racing Santander 11326 -1411
17 Elche 11245 -410
18 Levante 11245 -510
19 Valencia 11236 -99
20 Malaga 11056 -135