Santurtzi vs Derio Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Sun 1 Mar 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
SanturtziWLWLL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
DerioDLWWL
Kick-offSun 1 Mar, 11:15
Our tip2 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
SanturtziWLWLL
08 Nov 26HDeportivo Alavés III0 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26AAurrerá Vitoria1 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
25 Oct 26HAmurrio Club2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
18 Oct 26AEibar III1 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26HR. Union B1 - 0Tercera División RFEF Group 4
DerioDLWWL
07 Nov 26HR. Union B2 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26APasaia KE3 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HLagun Onak2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26ATouring0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26ADurango1 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4

Head to head

Full head to head: Santurtzi vs Derio →

Our prediction

Derio to win

Double chance
12  •  Santurtzi or Derio
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Santurtzilast 18 tipped matches
10/1856%
Our tips on Deriolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
19/3653%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 47%Under 2.5: 53%
Expected goals
0.80Santurtzi
2.57Total
1.77Derio

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Derio win 14%
0 – 2 Derio win 12%
1 – 1 Draw 11% ✓ Final score
1 – 2 Derio win 10%
0 – 0 Draw 8%
0 – 3 Derio win 7% Our pick

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Santurtzi25%
Draw11%
Derio64%

Santurtzi vs Derio preview and result

Santurtzi and Derio met in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 11:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Santurtzi a 25% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Derio 64%. Our pick was Derio to win with 70% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Santurtzi or Derio) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (0.8 for Santurtzi, 1.8 for Derio). The chance of three or more goals is 47%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Santurtzi have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Derio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Santurtzi vs Derio?

Our pre-match prediction is Derio to win (70% confidence). Win chances: Santurtzi 25%, draw 11%, Derio 64%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Santurtzi vs Derio?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 47%).

What time is Santurtzi vs Derio?

Santurtzi vs Derio (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) was played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 11:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Santurtzi vs Derio?

The double chance 12 (Santurtzi or Derio) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.