Southampton vs Derby Prediction

Southampton vs Derby preview

Southampton host Derby in the Championship (England) on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Southampton a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Derby 8%. That makes our pick Southampton to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.77. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Southampton or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.8 for Southampton, 1.0 for Derby). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 14. In the table, Southampton are 7th with 24 points and Derby are 23rd with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Southampton vs Derby?

Our prediction is Southampton to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.77. Win chances: Southampton 69%, draw 23%, Derby 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Derby?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Southampton vs Derby?

Southampton vs Derby (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Southampton vs Derby?

The double chance 1X (Southampton or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.