ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd Prediction

Challenge Cup · Tue 17 Feb 2026
Scotland flag Scotland : Challenge Cup
ST JohnstoneDLDDW
3 - 3
0'
Ayr Utd
Kick-offTue 17 Feb, 20:45
Our tip1 @ 1.53
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ST JohnstoneDLDDW
07 Nov 26HDundee2 - 1Premiership
31 Oct 26AKilmarnock2 - 2Premiership
28 Oct 26HMotherwell2 - 2Premiership
24 Oct 26ARangers0 - 4Premiership
17 Oct 26HDundee Utd1 - 1Premiership
Ayr Utd

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd →

Our prediction

ST Johnstone to win

@ 1.53
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on ST Johnstonelast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Challenge Cuplast 30 days
23/3664%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
0.91ST Johnstone
2.75Total
1.84Ayr Utd

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 ST Johnstone win 11% @ 5.75
2 – 0 ST Johnstone win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 ST Johnstone win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

ST Johnstone74%
Draw20%
Ayr Utd6%

Odds (1X2)

11.53
X3.75
25.50

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd preview

ST Johnstone v Ayr Utd in the Challenge Cup is under way – the score is 3 - 3 (0').

Our model gives ST Johnstone a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ayr Utd 6%. That makes our pick ST Johnstone to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.53.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (0.9 for ST Johnstone, 1.8 for Ayr Utd). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

ST Johnstone have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-L-D-D-W), scoring 7 and conceding 10.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd?

Our prediction is ST Johnstone to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.53. Win chances: ST Johnstone 74%, draw 20%, Ayr Utd 6%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd?

ST Johnstone vs Ayr Utd (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.