Toulouse vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat 21 Mar 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
ToulouseDWLL
17:00
Sat 21 Mar, 17:00
LorientWWLLL
Kick-offSat 21 Mar, 17:00
Our tip1 @ 1.96
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ToulouseDWLL
01 Nov 26AMarseille0 - 2Ligue 1
03 Sep 26HLille0 - 1Ligue 1
31 Jul 26HReal Sociedad2 - 1Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul 26HRodez1 - 1Friendlies Clubs
LorientWWLLL
31 Oct 26HStade Brestois 290 - 2Ligue 1
15 Aug 26ASV Elversberg1 - 4Friendlies Clubs
08 Aug 26AAngers1 - 2Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul 26HNantes1 - 0Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul 26AConcarneau2 - 1Friendlies Clubs

Head to head

Full head to head: Toulouse vs Lorient →

Our prediction

Toulouse to win

@ 1.96
Double chance
12  •  Toulouse or Lorient
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.06Toulouse
2.81Total
1.75Lorient

Win probability

Toulouse47%
Draw18%
Lorient35%

Odds (1X2)

11.96
X3.10
24.20

Toulouse vs Lorient preview

Toulouse host Lorient in the Ligue 1 (France) on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Toulouse a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lorient 35%. That makes our pick Toulouse to win with 55% confidence at odds of 1.96. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Toulouse or Lorient) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.1 for Toulouse, 1.8 for Lorient). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Toulouse have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (D-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 5. Lorient have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. In the table, Toulouse are 12th with 10 points and Lorient are 11th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Toulouse vs Lorient?

Our prediction is Toulouse to win (55% confidence) at odds of 1.96. Win chances: Toulouse 47%, draw 18%, Lorient 35%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toulouse vs Lorient?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Toulouse vs Lorient?

Toulouse vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toulouse vs Lorient?

The double chance 12 (Toulouse or Lorient) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Toulouse12th10 pts
Lorient11th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 1120
2 Lille 9531 618
3 Lyon 9522 817
4 Paris FC 9522 617
5 Rennes 9513 116
6 Marseille 9504 715
7 Monaco 9432 215
8 Nice 9423 114
9 Lens 9414 313
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 412
11 Lorient 9333 -112
12 Toulouse 9243 -110
13 Strasbourg 9315 -210
14 Auxerre 9315 -1010
15 Angers 9225 -88
16 Estac Troyes 9225 -98
17 Le Mans 9144 -77
18 Le Havre 9027 -112