Vanuatu vs New Caledonia Prediction

Friendlies · Sun 27 Sep 2026
World : Friendlies
VanuatuWDW
4 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
New CaledoniaLWLL
Kick-offSun 27 Sep, 05:00
Our tip2 @ 2.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
BackupX2 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5 ✓
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
VanuatuWDW
27 Sep 26HNew Caledonia4 - 1Friendlies
24 Sep 26ASolomon Islands3 - 3Friendlies
21 Sep 26AFiji1 - 0Friendlies
New CaledoniaLWLL
30 Sep 26AFiji1 - 2Friendlies
27 Sep 26AVanuatu1 - 4Friendlies
24 Sep 26APapua New Guinea2 - 1Friendlies
21 Sep 26HSolomon Islands0 - 2Friendlies

Head to head

Vanuatu 1 · Draws 0 · New Caledonia 0 (1 meetings)

27 Sep 26Vanuatu4 - 1New CaledoniaFriendlies

Full head to head: Vanuatu vs New Caledonia →

Our prediction

New Caledonia to win

@ 2.30
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or New Caledonia
@ 1.44
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 61%Under 2.5: 39%
Expected goals
2.54Vanuatu
3.17Total
0.63New Caledonia

Win probability

Vanuatu38%
Draw17%
New Caledonia45%

Odds (1X2)

12.50
X3.30
22.30

Vanuatu vs New Caledonia preview and result

Vanuatu and New Caledonia met in the Friendlies on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 05:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Vanuatu a 38% chance of winning, the draw 17% and New Caledonia 45%. Our pick was New Caledonia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.30. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or New Caledonia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.44.

Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (2.5 for Vanuatu, 0.6 for New Caledonia). The chance of three or more goals is 61%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Vanuatu have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches (W-D-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. New Caledonia have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches (L-W-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 9. In their last 1 meeting, Vanuatu won 1, New Caledonia won 0 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

Our pre-match prediction is New Caledonia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.30. Win chances: Vanuatu 38%, draw 17%, New Caledonia 45%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 61%).

What time is Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

Vanuatu vs New Caledonia (Friendlies) was played on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 05:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?

The double chance X2 (Draw or New Caledonia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.44. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.