Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras Prediction

Serie A · Thu 12 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
2 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
PalmeirasWLWDW
Kick-offThu 12 Mar, 23:30
Our tip2 @ 2.28 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Vasco DA GamaLWLLW
04 Nov 26AAtletico Paranaense3 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26APalmeiras0 - 1Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HFlamengo1 - 4Serie A
24 Oct 26HCorinthians3 - 2Serie A
21 Oct 26HBoca Juniors1 - 3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
PalmeirasWLWDW
01 Nov 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Copa Do Brasil
28 Oct 26ASantos0 - 0Serie A
24 Oct 26HRB Bragantino2 - 0Serie A
22 Oct 26HFluminense0 - 1CONMEBOL Libertadores
17 Oct 26AAtletico Paranaense2 - 0Serie A

Head to head

Vasco DA Gama 5 · Draws 8 · Palmeiras 13 (26 meetings, last 10 below)

08 Nov 26Vasco DA Gama2 - 1PalmeirasCopa Do Brasil
01 Nov 26Palmeiras1 - 0Vasco DA GamaCopa Do Brasil
23 Aug 26Palmeiras4 - 1Vasco DA GamaSerie A
12 Mar 26Vasco DA Gama2 - 1PalmeirasSerie A
01 Oct 25Palmeiras3 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
04 May 25Vasco DA Gama0 - 1PalmeirasSerie A
22 Sep 24Vasco DA Gama0 - 1PalmeirasSerie A
14 Jun 24Palmeiras2 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
27 Aug 23Palmeiras1 - 0Vasco DA GamaSerie A
23 Apr 23Vasco DA Gama2 - 2PalmeirasSerie A

Full head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras →

Our prediction

Palmeiras to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  Vasco DA Gama or Palmeiras
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.65
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Vasco DA Gamalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Palmeiraslast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
26/4360%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 63%Under 2.5: 37%
Expected goals
0.65Vasco DA Gama
3.25Total
2.60Palmeiras

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
0 – 1 Palmeiras win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Palmeiras win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Vasco DA Gama win 7% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Vasco DA Gama win 7% @ 8.50 ✓ Final score

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vasco DA Gama25%
Draw18%
Palmeiras57%

Odds (1X2)

13.00
X3.35
22.28

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras preview and result

Vasco DA Gama and Palmeiras met in the Serie A on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Vasco DA Gama a 25% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Palmeiras 57%. Our pick was Palmeiras to win with 65% confidence at odds of 2.28. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Vasco DA Gama or Palmeiras) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (0.7 for Vasco DA Gama, 2.6 for Palmeiras). The chance of three or more goals is 63%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Vasco DA Gama have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Palmeiras have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 1. In their last 10 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 5, Palmeiras won 13 and 8 ended level. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th with 41 points and Palmeiras are 2nd with 73 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Our pre-match prediction is Palmeiras to win (65% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: Vasco DA Gama 25%, draw 18%, Palmeiras 57%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 63%).

What time is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras (Serie A) was played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

The double chance 12 (Vasco DA Gama or Palmeiras) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Vasco DA Gama13th41 pts
Palmeiras2nd73 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521