Vitoria vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie A · Sat 14 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
VitoriaWLDDL
22:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 14 Mar
Atletico-MGLLLLD
Kick-offSat 14 Mar, 22:30
Our tip1 @ 2.55
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
VitoriaWLDDL
31 Oct 26ACoritiba0 - 2Serie A
24 Oct 26HAtletico Paranaense1 - 1Serie A
19 Oct 26ACorinthians1 - 1Serie A
11 Oct 26ASao Paulo1 - 2Serie A
07 Oct 26HChapecoense-sc4 - 0Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLD
07 Nov 26HGremio1 - 1Copa Do Brasil
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Vitoria vs Atletico-MG →

Our prediction

Vitoria to win

@ 2.55
Double chance
12  •  Vitoria or Atletico-MG
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Vitorialast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
31/5062%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 60%Under 2.5: 40%
Expected goals
1.31Vitoria
3.11Total
1.80Atletico-MG

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Vitoria win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 1 Atletico-MG win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Vitoria win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vitoria47%
Draw18%
Atletico-MG35%

Odds (1X2)

12.55
X3.10
22.82

Vitoria vs Atletico-MG preview

Vitoria host Atletico-MG in the Serie A (Brazil) on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Vitoria a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico-MG 35%. That makes our pick Vitoria to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.55. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Vitoria or Atletico-MG) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.3 for Vitoria, 1.8 for Atletico-MG). The chance of three or more goals is 60%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

Vitoria have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-D), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Vitoria are 15th with 38 points and Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico-MG?

Our prediction is Vitoria to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.55. Win chances: Vitoria 47%, draw 18%, Atletico-MG 35%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vitoria vs Atletico-MG?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 60%).

What time is Vitoria vs Atletico-MG?

Vitoria vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vitoria vs Atletico-MG?

The double chance 12 (Vitoria or Atletico-MG) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Vitoria15th38 pts
Atletico-MG7th50 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 331599 1054
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3310815 -1338
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521