Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Mon 3 Aug 2026
Argentina flag Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina
Velez SarsfieldDLWWD
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
IndependienteLDLDD
Kick-offMon 3 Aug, 23:00
Our tip1 @ 2.56 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Velez SarsfieldDLWWD
31 Oct 26HSan Lorenzo2 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Oct 26ACentral Cordoba de Santiago5 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Oct 26HGimnasia M.1 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26ALanus0 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
05 Oct 26HPlatense2 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
IndependienteLDLDD
31 Oct 26ADefensa Y Justicia1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26ATalleres Cordoba0 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
02 Oct 26HInstituto Cordoba1 - 4Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Sep 26HSan Lorenzo1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug 26HGimnasia M.0 - 3Liga Profesional Argentina

Head to head

Velez Sarsfield 1 · Draws 0 · Independiente 0 (1 meetings)

03 Aug 26Velez Sarsfield1 - 0IndependienteLiga Profesional Argentina

Full head to head: Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente →

Our prediction

Velez Sarsfield to win

@ 2.56
Double chance
12  •  Velez Sarsfield or Independiente
@ 1.35
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Velez Sarsfieldlast 13 tipped matches
8/1362%
Our tips on Independientelast 11 tipped matches
2/1118%
Our tips in Liga Profesional Argentinalast 30 days
31/6151%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 40%Under 2.5: 60%
Expected goals
1.24Velez Sarsfield
2.29Total
1.05Independiente

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.00
1 – 0 Velez Sarsfield win 11% @ 5.75 Our pick ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.25
0 – 1 Independiente win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Velez Sarsfield win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Velez Sarsfield43%
Draw19%
Independiente38%

Odds (1X2)

12.56
X2.88
23.00

Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente preview and result

Velez Sarsfield and Independiente met in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 43% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Independiente 38%. Our pick was Velez Sarsfield to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.56. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Velez Sarsfield or Independiente) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.2 for Velez Sarsfield, 1.1 for Independiente). The chance of three or more goals is 40%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Velez Sarsfield have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-D), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Independiente have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-D-D), scoring 3 and conceding 9. In their last 1 meeting, Velez Sarsfield won 1, Independiente won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Velez Sarsfield are 3rd with 28 points and Independiente are 5th with 24 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

Our pre-match prediction is Velez Sarsfield to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.56. Win chances: Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 19%, Independiente 38%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 40%).

What time is Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) was played on Monday 3 August 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?

The double chance 12 (Velez Sarsfield or Independiente) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Velez Sarsfield3rd28 pts
Independiente5th24 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16943 1231
2 Boca Juniors 16862 1330
3 Velez Sarsfield 16772 628
4 Talleres Cordoba 16754 426
5 Independiente 16664 424
6 Lanus 16664 324
7 San Lorenzo 16574 022
8 Union Santa Fe 16565 421
9 Instituto Cordoba 16637 021
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16475 -319
11 Gimnasia M. 16547 -819
12 Platense 16376 -516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16448 -1016
14 Newells Old Boys 16367 -1215
15 Deportivo Riestra 16187 -711