Vitoria vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Sat 11 Apr 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
VitoriaWLDDL
20:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 11 Apr
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offSat 11 Apr, 20:30
Our tip2 @ 2.34
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
VitoriaWLDDL
31 Oct 26ACoritiba0 - 2Serie A
24 Oct 26HAtletico Paranaense1 - 1Serie A
19 Oct 26ACorinthians1 - 1Serie A
11 Oct 26ASao Paulo1 - 2Serie A
07 Oct 26HChapecoense-sc4 - 0Serie A
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Vitoria 2 · Draws 0 · Sao Paulo 8 (10 meetings)

11 Oct 26Sao Paulo2 - 1VitoriaSerie A
11 Apr 26Vitoria2 - 0Sao PauloSerie A
07 Dec 25Vitoria1 - 0Sao PauloSerie A
09 Aug 25Sao Paulo2 - 0VitoriaSerie A
25 Aug 24Sao Paulo2 - 1VitoriaSerie A
05 May 24Vitoria1 - 3Sao PauloSerie A
26 Oct 18Vitoria0 - 1Sao PauloSerie A
13 Jun 18Sao Paulo3 - 0VitoriaSerie A
17 Sep 17Vitoria1 - 2Sao PauloSerie A
08 Jun 17Sao Paulo2 - 0VitoriaSerie A

Full head to head: Vitoria vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Sao Paulo to win

@ 2.34
Double chance
12  •  Vitoria or Sao Paulo
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.73
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Vitorialast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
31/5062%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
0.85Vitoria
2.37Total
1.52Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
0 – 1 Sao Paulo win 12% @ 5.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Vitoria win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Sao Paulo win 8% @ 8.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Vitoria33%
Draw18%
Sao Paulo49%

Odds (1X2)

13.10
X3.15
22.34

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo preview

Vitoria host Sao Paulo in the Serie A (Brazil) on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Vitoria a 33% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sao Paulo 49%. That makes our pick Sao Paulo to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.34. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Vitoria or Sao Paulo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (0.9 for Vitoria, 1.5 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Vitoria have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In their last 10 meetings, Vitoria won 2, Sao Paulo won 8 and 0 ended level. In the table, Vitoria are 15th with 38 points and Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?

Our prediction is Sao Paulo to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.34. Win chances: Vitoria 33%, draw 18%, Sao Paulo 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?

Vitoria vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Vitoria vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 12 (Vitoria or Sao Paulo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Vitoria15th38 pts
Sao Paulo10th44 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521