SportPesa Mega Jackpot Predictions This Week

Current Card · 23–24 May 2026 · 17 Games
WEEKLY PICKS
BEST BANKER
No standout banker this week
BEST VALUE
No standout value spot this week
BIGGEST SWING
Fulham vs Newcastle

Get this week’s free SportPesa Mega Jackpot predictions for all 17 games, including raw 1X2 probabilities, banker picks, swing fixtures, value spots, and match-by-match analysis before the first kick-off.

⏱ CARD CLOSES IN
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📅 Sat 23 May 2026 · 19:00 EAT
📋 Your Slip:
Add picks by clicking ★ on any game
📊 How to read this page: every game shows the raw 1 / X / 2 probability, the model's preferred outcome, confidence level, and a short match note. BANKER marks stronger-confidence spots, VALUE flags appealing odds against model probability, and SWING highlights the hardest fixtures on the card.

Saturday 23 May 2026

4
Weekend Matches
#
Match
1%
X%
2%
Supatips Tip
Score
1
Espanyol Real Sociedad
🇪🇸 LAL 19:00 EAT TIP
30%
34%
38%
2
Away Win
38%
1-1 (0-1)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Real Sociedad. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in La Liga give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
2
Real Betis Levante
🇪🇸 LAL 19:00 EAT TIP
39%
34%
28%
1
Home Win
39%
2-1 (1-1)
Our model slightly prefers Real Betis here. Home advantage, recent form trend and chance creation data in La Liga make the hosts the preferred side. The market price of 0.00 is broadly in line with that view.
3
Getafe Osasuna
🇪🇸 LAL 19:00 EAT TIP
42%
19%
39%
1
Home Win
42%
1-0 (0-0)
Our model slightly prefers Getafe here. Home advantage, recent form trend and chance creation data in La Liga make the hosts the preferred side. The market price of 0.00 is broadly in line with that view.
4
Alaves Rayo Vallecano
🇪🇸 LAL 19:00 EAT TIP
38%
19%
43%
2
Away Win
43%
1-2 (1-0)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Rayo Vallecano. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in La Liga give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
BANKER stronger-confidence pick VALUE model edge + appealing odds SWING difficult fixture Columns show raw 1 / X / 2 probabilities

Sunday 24 May 2026

13
Weekend Matches
#
Match
1%
X%
2%
Supatips Tip
Score
5
Parma Sassuolo
🇮🇹 SEA 13:00 EAT TIP
27%
34%
40%
2
Away Win
40%
1-0 (0-0)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Sassuolo. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Serie A give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
6
HB Koge Hobro
🏆 1. 14:00 EAT TIP
39%
34%
29%
1
Home Win
39%
0-1 (0-1)
Our model slightly prefers HB Koge here. Home advantage, recent form trend and chance creation data in 1. Division make the hosts the preferred side. The market price of 0.00 is broadly in line with that view.
7
Fulham Newcastle
🏴 EPL 15:00 EAT SWING
30%
34%
37%
2
Away Win
37%
2-0 (1-0)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Newcastle. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Premier League give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
8
Spartak Moscow FC Krasnodar
🇷🇺 CUP 15:00 EAT SWING
30%
34%
37%
2
Away Win
37%
1-1
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers FC Krasnodar. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Cup give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
9
Burnley Wolves
🏴 EPL 15:00 EAT SWING
31%
34%
37%
2
Away Win
37%
1-1 (0-1)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Wolves. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Premier League give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
10
Laval Rouen
🇫🇷 L2 15:00 EAT TIP
39%
34%
29%
1
Home Win
39%
1-0 (1-0)
Our model slightly prefers Laval here. Home advantage, recent form trend and chance creation data in Ligue 2 make the hosts the preferred side. The market price of 0.00 is broadly in line with that view.
11
Sandviken Landskrona BoIS
🏆 SUP 15:00 EAT TIP
26%
34%
42%
2
Away Win
42%
0-1 (0-1)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Landskrona BoIS. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Superettan give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
12
Dinamo Tbilisi Torpedo Kutaisi
🏆 ERO 15:00 EAT TIP
40%
19%
41%
2
Away Win
41%
0-1 (0-0)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Torpedo Kutaisi. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Erovnuli Liga give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
13
Real Murcia Eldense
🇪🇸 PRI 16:00 EAT TIP
29%
34%
39%
2
Away Win
39%
3-0 (2-0)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Eldense. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Primera División RFEF Group 2 give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
14
Cultural Leonesa Burgos
🇪🇸 SEG 16:30 EAT TIP
26%
34%
42%
2
Away Win
42%
0-2 (0-2)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Burgos. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Segunda División give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
15
Acassuso Defensores De Belgrano
🇦🇷 PRI 17:00 EAT TIP
28%
34%
39%
2
Away Win
39%
1-0 (1-0)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Defensores De Belgrano. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in Primera Nacional give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
16
Villarreal Atletico Madrid
🇪🇸 LAL 19:00 EAT TIP
27%
34%
41%
2
Away Win
41%
5-1 (4-1)
Despite playing away, our model slightly prefers Atletico Madrid. The away side's attacking numbers and recent road profile in La Liga give them the edge. Odds of 0.00 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
17
Remo Atletico Paranaense
🇧🇷 SEA 19:00 EAT TIP
43%
19%
38%
1
Home Win
43%
1-2 (1-1)
Our model slightly prefers Remo here. Home advantage, recent form trend and chance creation data in Serie A make the hosts the preferred side. The market price of 0.00 is broadly in line with that view.
BANKER stronger-confidence pick VALUE model edge + appealing odds SWING difficult fixture Columns show raw 1 / X / 2 probabilities
AO

Written & Reviewed by

Ade Ola — Lead Football Analyst, Supatips

Ade specialises in jackpot prediction modelling, 1X2 probability analysis, and form-based match assessment. He reviews every Mega Jackpot card before publication. Read full bio →

What Is the SportPesa Mega Jackpot?

The SportPesa Mega Jackpot is one of Kenya's most popular weekly football prediction games, run by SportPesa Kenya. Every week, SportPesa selects 17 football matches from top leagues around the world — including the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, and others. Players predict the result of each match as either a home win (1), draw (X), or away win (2).

To win the jackpot, all 17 predictions must be correct. Partial wins, such as bonus prizes for 15 or 16 correct picks, may also be available depending on the current game rules and payout structure.

Games per card
17
Football matches
Entry cost
KSH 99
Per prediction slip
Card deadline
Sat 23 May
19:00 EAT · first kick-off
This week's bankers
0
60%+ model confidence
Value picks
0
Edge + appealing odds
Swing games
3
Most uncertain fixtures

How to Enter the SportPesa Mega Jackpot

To enter the Mega Jackpot, log in to your SportPesa account on the website or app, navigate to the jackpot section, and make a prediction (1, X, or 2) for each of the 17 listed matches. Each slip costs KSH 99. You can submit as many slips as you like with different combinations. All selections must be submitted before the first match on the card kicks off.

This week's quick view: Best banker — No standout banker this week · Best value — No standout value spot this week · Biggest swing — Fulham vs Newcastle.

How Supatips Builds These Predictions

Each game on this page is assessed using a probability model that weighs recent form, home and away performance, goal-scoring and concession trends, head-to-head records, and bookmaker pricing signals. The result is a raw percentage split across home win (1), draw (X), and away win (2) for every fixture.

The outcome with the highest probability becomes the Supatips Tip. The confidence percentage tells you how strongly the model leans toward that outcome. Games where the model is highly confident (60%+) are labelled BANKER. Games where odds appear attractive relative to model probability are labelled VALUE. Games where no outcome clearly dominates are labelled SWING — these are the hardest fixtures on the card and where jackpot luck tends to be decided.

How to Read the Prediction Table

  • 1% / X% / 2% — raw model probability for home win, draw, and away win.
  • Supatips Tip — the outcome with the highest model edge, plus a confidence bar.
  • Analysis — click to expand a short match note explaining the model lean.
  • BANKER — model confidence 60% or above. Strongest picks on the card.
  • VALUE — model edge aligned with appealing bookmaker odds.
  • SWING — model confidence below 38%. Most uncertain fixture this week.
  • ★ star button — add any game to your personal slip tracker at the top of the page.

Responsible Gambling — Please Read

⚠️ This section matters. Please take a moment to read it.

Supatips is an informational and analytical service. All predictions are probability estimates — not financial advice and not guarantees of any outcome. The SportPesa Mega Jackpot involves real money and all results must be correct to win the top prize.

If you choose to enter jackpots, please follow these principles:

  • Only ever stake money you can genuinely afford to lose.
  • Treat predictions as one input among many — not as certainties.
  • Set a firm weekly budget for jackpot entries and do not exceed it.
  • Never chase losses or increase your stake after a losing week.
  • Take regular breaks and review whether gambling is staying fun.

If gambling is causing concern, free support is available:

🔞 18+ only. It is your responsibility to check that betting is legal in your location. SportPesa is licensed in Kenya. Supatips is not affiliated with SportPesa.

Frequently Asked Questions

The SportPesa Mega Jackpot is a weekly football prediction game run by SportPesa Kenya. Players predict the result (1, X, or 2) of selected matches from major leagues worldwide. All results must be correct to win the jackpot. Bonus prizes may apply for near-perfect slips.

The Mega Jackpot card consists of 17 football matches for this week's card (23–24 May 2026), played across Saturday and Sunday. All games must be predicted correctly to win the top prize.

Each prediction slip costs KSH 99. You can submit as many slips as you like with different combinations to improve your chances, but you must submit all slips before the first match kicks off.

Supatips uses a 1X2 probability model that factors in recent form, home and away performance, goal data, head-to-head records, and bookmaker price signals. Each game shows raw percentages for all three outcomes so you can see exactly how the model rates every fixture.

BANKER is applied to games where our model confidence reaches 60% or above in one outcome. These are the strongest selections on the current card. This week there are 0 bankers. No result is ever guaranteed.

A SWING game is a fixture where model confidence falls below 38%, meaning no single outcome clearly dominates. These games carry the most uncertainty and are historically where jackpot attempts fail. This week's biggest swing is Fulham vs Newcastle.

VALUE flags a game where the model leans toward one outcome and the bookmaker odds appear generous relative to that probability. It suggests the market may be underestimating one side — useful context when building multi-slip combinations.

No. All predictions on Supatips are probability-based and published for informational purposes only. Football results are inherently unpredictable. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose, and always enter jackpots responsibly.

Other Jackpot Predictions on Supatips

Supatips currently covers 5 jackpot products across multiple markets and operators:

View all jackpot predictions →