Get this week’s free SportPesa Midweek Jackpot predictions for all 13 games, including raw 1X2 probabilities, banker picks, swing fixtures, value spots, and match-by-match analysis before the first kick-off.
⏱ JACKPOT CLOSES IN
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📅 Fri 22 May 2026 · 17:00 EAT
📋 Your Slip:
Add picks by clicking ★ on any game
📊How to read this page:
every game shows the raw 1 / X / 2 probability, the model's preferred outcome, confidence level, and a short match note.
BANKER marks stronger-confidence spots, VALUE flags appealing odds against model probability, and SWING highlights the hardest fixtures on the card.
📅
Midweek Jackpot — 13 Games
13
Midweek Edition
#
★
Match
1%
X%
2%
Supatips Tip
Score
1
KristianstadHässleholms IF
🏆ETT17:00 EATTIP
44%
34%
24%
1
Home Win
44%
-
Our model slightly prefers Kristianstad. Recent form, home performance, and chance-quality indicators in Ettan Södra point toward the hosts. The available home price of 2.55 broadly matches that view.
Odds →1: 2.55X: 3.502: 2.38
2
LineroIFK Trelleborg
🏆DIV17:00 EATTIP
39%
34%
29%
1
Home Win
39%
-
Our model slightly prefers Linero. Recent form, home performance, and chance-quality indicators in Division 2 Södra Götaland point toward the hosts. The available home price of 2.55 broadly matches that view.
Odds →1: 2.55X: 3.752: 2.25
3
BrabrandSkive
🏆2. 17:00 EATTIP
41%
19%
40%
1
Home Win
41%
-
Our model slightly prefers Brabrand. Recent form, home performance, and chance-quality indicators in 2. Division point toward the hosts. The available home price of 2.50 broadly matches that view.
Odds →1: 2.50X: 2.752: 2.70
4
FarstaHaninge
🏆DIV18:00 EATTIP
30%
34%
38%
2
Away Win
38%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers Haninge. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in Division 2 Södra Svealand give them the edge here. Odds of 2.12 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.60X: 3.602: 2.12
5
KA AkureyriValur Reykjavik
🏆ÚR18:00 EATSWING
31%
34%
37%
2
Away Win
37%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers Valur Reykjavik. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in Úrvalsdeild give them the edge here. Odds of 2.60 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.15X: 4.002: 2.60
6
Rot-Weiß EssenSpVgg Greuther Fürth
🇩🇪BUN18:30 EATTIP
57%
20%
24%
1
Home Win
57%
-
Our model strongly supports Rot-Weiß Essen. Recent form, home performance, and chance-quality indicators in 2. Bundesliga point toward the hosts. The available home price of 2.60 broadly matches that view.
Odds →1: 2.60X: 3.702: 2.40
7
Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
🏆PRE18:45 EATTIP
39%
19%
42%
2
Away Win
42%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers St Patrick's Athl.. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in Premier Division give them the edge here. Odds of 2.52 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.80X: 3.202: 2.52
8
Treaty UnitedCobh Ramblers
🏆FIR18:45 EATSWING
37%
34%
31%
1
Home Win
37%
-
Our model slightly prefers Treaty United. Recent form, home performance, and chance-quality indicators in First Division point toward the hosts. The available home price of 2.66 broadly matches that view.
Odds →1: 2.66X: 3.402: 2.50
9
WexfordUCD
🏆FIR18:45 EATTIP
25%
34%
42%
2
Away Win
42%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers UCD. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in First Division give them the edge here. Odds of 2.62 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.56X: 3.352: 2.62
10
Finn HarpsLongford Town
🏆FIR18:45 EATTIP
43%
19%
38%
1
Home Win
43%
-
Our model slightly prefers Finn Harps. Recent form, home performance, and chance-quality indicators in First Division point toward the hosts. The available home price of 2.60 broadly matches that view.
Odds →1: 2.60X: 3.352: 2.60
11
FiorentinaAtalanta
🇮🇹SEA18:45 EATSWING
30%
34%
37%
2
Away Win
37%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers Atalanta. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in Serie A give them the edge here. Odds of 2.48 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.62X: 3.502: 2.48
12
BreidablikKR Reykjavik
🏆ÚR19:15 EATTIP
40%
19%
41%
2
Away Win
41%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers KR Reykjavik. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in Úrvalsdeild give them the edge here. Odds of 2.05 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.65X: 4.102: 2.05
13
StjarnanFram Reykjavik
🏆ÚR19:15 EATTIP
28%
34%
40%
2
Away Win
40%
-
Despite being away from home, our model slightly prefers Fram Reykjavik. Their recent attacking profile and away efficiency in Úrvalsdeild give them the edge here. Odds of 2.30 may offer upside if the market is underrating them.
Odds →1: 2.45X: 4.002: 2.30
BANKER stronger-confidence pickVALUE model edge + appealing oddsSWING difficult fixtureColumns show raw 1 / X / 2 probabilities
Ade specialises in jackpot prediction modelling, 1X2 probability analysis, and form-based match assessment.
He reviews every Midweek Jackpot card before publication.
Read full bio →
What Is the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot?
The SportPesa Midweek Jackpot is one of Kenya's popular midweek football prediction games,
run by SportPesa Kenya.
Every card normally contains 13 football matches selected from leagues across Europe and beyond.
Players predict each result as a home win (1), draw (X), or away win (2).
To win the top prize, all results on the card must be predicted correctly. Midweek cards usually have fewer games than the Mega Jackpot,
which makes them popular with players looking for a shorter jackpot format.
Games per card
13
Football matches
Entry cost
KSH 99
Per prediction slip
Card deadline
Fri 22 May
17:00 EAT · first kick-off
This week's bankers
0
60%+ model confidence
Value picks
0
Edge + appealing odds
Swing games
3
Most uncertain fixtures
How to Enter the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot
To enter the Midweek Jackpot, log in to your SportPesa account on the website or app, open the jackpot section,
and predict the result of each of the 13 listed matches.
Each slip costs KSH 99. All selections must be submitted before the first match on the card starts.
This week's quick view:
Best banker — No standout banker this midweek ·
Best value — No standout value spot this midweek ·
Biggest swing — KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik.
How Supatips Builds These Predictions
Each game on this page is assessed using a probability model that weighs recent form,
home and away performance, goal-scoring and concession trends, head-to-head records,
and bookmaker pricing signals. The result is a raw percentage split across
home win (1), draw (X), and away win (2)
for every fixture.
The outcome with the highest probability becomes the Supatips Tip.
The confidence percentage tells you how strongly the model leans toward that outcome.
Games where the model is highly confident (60%+) are labelled BANKER.
Games where odds appear attractive relative to model probability are labelled VALUE.
Games where no outcome clearly dominates are labelled SWING.
How to Read the Prediction Table
1% / X% / 2% — raw model probability for home win, draw, and away win.
Supatips Tip — the outcome with the highest model edge, plus a confidence bar.
Analysis — click to expand a short match note explaining the model lean.
BANKER — model confidence 60% or above. Strongest picks on the card.
VALUE — model edge aligned with appealing bookmaker odds.
SWING — model confidence below 38%. Most uncertain fixture this week.
★ star button — add any game to your personal slip tracker at the top of the page.
Responsible Gambling — Please Read
⚠️ This section matters. Please take a moment to read it.
Supatips is an informational and analytical service. All predictions are probability estimates —
not financial advice and not guarantees of any outcome. The SportPesa Midweek Jackpot involves
real money and all results must be correct to win the top prize.
If you choose to enter jackpots, please follow these principles:
Only ever stake money you can genuinely afford to lose.
Treat predictions as one input among many — not as certainties.
Set a firm weekly budget for jackpot entries and do not exceed it.
Never chase losses or increase your stake after a losing week.
Take regular breaks and review whether gambling is staying fun.
If gambling is causing concern, free support is available:
🔞 18+ only. It is your responsibility to check that betting is legal in your location.
SportPesa is licensed in Kenya. Supatips is not affiliated with SportPesa.
Frequently Asked Questions
The SportPesa Midweek Jackpot is a football prediction game run by SportPesa Kenya.
Players predict the result of selected midweek fixtures using 1, X, or 2.
The Midweek Jackpot card usually contains 13 football matches
for this week's card (22–22 May 2026).
Supatips uses a 1X2 probability model that factors in recent form, home and away performance,
goal data, head-to-head records, and bookmaker price signals. Each game shows raw percentages
for all three outcomes.
BANKER is applied to games where our model confidence reaches 60% or above in one outcome.
This week there are 0 bankers.
No result is ever guaranteed.
No. All predictions on Supatips are probability-based and published for informational purposes only.
Football results are inherently unpredictable. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
Other Jackpot Predictions on Supatips
Supatips currently covers 5 jackpot products
across multiple markets and operators: