Portugal : Primeira Liga
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AroucaDWWWW
EstrelaLLWLLHead to head
Our prediction
Arouca to win
@ 2.00Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Arouca vs Estrela preview and result
Arouca and Estrela met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives Arouca a 45% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estrela 38%. Our pick was Arouca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Arouca or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.
Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (1.1 for Arouca, 2.2 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 62%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.
Form and head to head
Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Arouca are 5th with 20 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Arouca vs Estrela?
Our pre-match prediction is Arouca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Arouca 45%, draw 17%, Estrela 38%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arouca vs Estrela?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 62%).
What time is Arouca vs Estrela?
Arouca vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Arouca vs Estrela?
The double chance 12 (Arouca or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto |
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Braga |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense |
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC |
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 | Nacional |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril |
10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
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Universitariovs
FBC Melgar2 - 201:00
La Tribu de Cd. Juarezvs
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Vaqueros Reynosavs
Atlético Saltillo2 - 101:00
Diriangénvs
Walter Ferretti2 - 401:00
Napier City Roversvs
Cashmere Technical2 - 101:30
Austinvs
Nashville SC1 - 4

FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Arouca
Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Moreirense
Famalicao
Alverca
Estrela
Vitória SC
Maritimo
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Estoril