Arouca vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 11 Oct 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
AroucaDWWWW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
EstrelaLLWLL
Kick-offSun 11 Oct, 20:30
Our tip1 @ 2.00 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AroucaDWWWW
01 Nov 26HNacional1 - 0Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26ACF Os Belenenses4 - 3Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HEstrela1 - 0Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26ASporting CP2 - 2Primeira Liga
EstrelaLLWLL
31 Oct 26AMoreirense1 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26HCasa Pia0 - 2Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26AFazendense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26HAcademico Viseu0 - 2Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Arouca vs Estrela →

Our prediction

Arouca to win

@ 2.00
Double chance
12  •  Arouca or Estrela
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Aroucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Estrelalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
22/3367%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 62%Under 2.5: 38%
Expected goals
1.06Arouca
3.21Total
2.15Estrela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Arouca win 8% @ 8.00 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Arouca win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Arouca win 6% @ 10.00
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Arouca45%
Draw17%
Estrela38%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.40
23.40

Arouca vs Estrela preview and result

Arouca and Estrela met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Arouca a 45% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Estrela 38%. Our pick was Arouca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Arouca or Estrela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (1.1 for Arouca, 2.2 for Estrela). The chance of three or more goals is 62%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Arouca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Estrela have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Arouca are 5th with 20 points and Estrela are 12th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Arouca vs Estrela?

Our pre-match prediction is Arouca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Arouca 45%, draw 17%, Estrela 38%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arouca vs Estrela?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 62%).

What time is Arouca vs Estrela?

Arouca vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Arouca vs Estrela?

The double chance 12 (Arouca or Estrela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Arouca5th20 pts
Estrela12th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142