Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 11 Oct 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Rio AveLWWLL
3 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
NacionalLLLWL
Kick-offSun 11 Oct, 15:30
Our tip1 @ 2.25 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Rio AveLWWLL
01 Nov 26AAcademico Viseu1 - 2Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ALouletano1 - 0Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26HNacional3 - 2Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26AAlverca0 - 1Primeira Liga
NacionalLLLWL
01 Nov 26AArouca0 - 1Primeira Liga
25 Oct 26HSC Braga1 - 0Primeira Liga
17 Oct 26ASanjoanense0 - 1Taça de Portugal
11 Oct 26ARio Ave2 - 3Primeira Liga
19 Sep 26HFamalicao0 - 4Primeira Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Rio Ave vs Nacional →

Our prediction

Rio Ave to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  Rio Ave or Nacional
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.75
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Rio Avelast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Nacionallast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
23/3468%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.87Rio Ave
3.00Total
1.13Nacional

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Rio Ave win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Rio Ave win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.50
0 – 1 Nacional win 8% @ 8.50

Final score: 3 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Rio Ave43%
Draw18%
Nacional39%

Odds (1X2)

12.25
X3.20
23.00

Rio Ave vs Nacional preview and result

Rio Ave and Nacional met in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Rio Ave a 43% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nacional 39%. Our pick was Rio Ave to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Nacional) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.9 for Rio Ave, 1.1 for Nacional). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Rio Ave have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Nacional have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 3 and conceding 9. In the table, Rio Ave are 17th with 7 points and Nacional are 16th with 7 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Rio Ave vs Nacional?

Our pre-match prediction is Rio Ave to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Rio Ave 43%, draw 18%, Nacional 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rio Ave vs Nacional?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Rio Ave vs Nacional?

Rio Ave vs Nacional (Primeira Liga) was played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Rio Ave vs Nacional?

The double chance 12 (Rio Ave or Nacional) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Rio Ave17th7 pts
Nacional16th7 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 101000 2130
2 Benfica 10811 1925
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 10631 921
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 10622 320
7 GIL Vicente 10433 115
8 SC Braga 10424 114
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 10244 -410
13 Vitória SC 10235 09
14 Maritimo 10226 -128
15 Casa Pia 11227 -148
16 Nacional 10217 -97
17 Rio Ave 10217 -147
18 Estoril 10028 -142