Maritimo vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 10 Oct 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
MaritimoLWLLL
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
FC PortoLLWWW
Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 18:00
Our tip2 @ 1.30 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

G. SzalaiAssist: M. Dominguez⚽16'
36'Alan Gonzalo Varela
42'⚽V. Froholdt
57'Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
86'⚽O. PietuszewskiAssist: J. Kiwior
Igor Julião87'

Match stats

MaritimoFC Porto
42%Possession58%
0.19Expected goals (xG)2.13
7Shots19
4Shots on target8
2Corners6
15Fouls15
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
7Saves3
Line-ups
Maritimo4-2-3-1
  1. 30F. VieitesG
  2. 2Igor JuliaoD
  3. 44R. CorreiaD
  4. 22G. SzalaiD
  5. 23P. HenriqueD
  6. 21I. AlaniM
  7. 14Raphael GuzzoM
  8. 15T. TavaresM
  9. 8M. DominguezM
  10. 10M. TejonM
  11. 17A. ButzkeF

Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag

FC Porto4-3-3
  1. 99D. CostaG
  2. 20A. CostaD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 74F. MouraD
  6. 8V. FroholdtM
  7. 22A. VarelaM
  8. 16Hwang In-BeomM
  9. 7William GomesF
  10. 19Andre SilvaF
  11. 11PepêF

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Referee: J. Goncalves · Venue: Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MaritimoLWLLL
01 Nov 26HSanta Clara0 - 2Primeira Liga
27 Oct 26ASporting CP1 - 2Taça da Liga
23 Oct 26AVitória SC0 - 5Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AAlcochetense2 - 1Taça de Portugal
10 Oct 26HFC Porto1 - 2Primeira Liga
FC PortoLLWWW
31 Oct 26HEstoril4 - 0Primeira Liga
28 Oct 26HAcademico Viseu1 - 0Taça da Liga
24 Oct 26AGIL Vicente1 - 0Primeira Liga
20 Oct 26HPSV Eindhoven0 - 1UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 26AReal Betis2 - 3UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Maritimo 3 · Draws 5 · FC Porto 19 (27 meetings, last 10 below)

10 Oct 26Maritimo1 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
01 Feb 23Maritimo0 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
06 Aug 22FC Porto5 - 1MaritimoPrimeira Liga
30 Jan 22FC Porto2 - 1MaritimoPrimeira Liga
22 Aug 21Maritimo1 - 1FC PortoPrimeira Liga
22 Feb 21Maritimo1 - 2FC PortoPrimeira Liga
03 Oct 20FC Porto2 - 3MaritimoPrimeira Liga
10 Jun 20FC Porto1 - 0MaritimoPrimeira Liga
30 Oct 19Maritimo1 - 1FC PortoPrimeira Liga
16 Mar 19FC Porto3 - 0MaritimoPrimeira Liga

Full head to head: Maritimo vs FC Porto →

Our prediction

FC Porto to win

@ 1.30
Double chance
12  •  Maritimo or FC Porto
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.62
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Maritimolast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on FC Portolast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
0.76Maritimo
2.93Total
2.17FC Porto

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 FC Porto win 12% @ 5.80
0 – 2 FC Porto win 12% @ 5.80
1 – 2 FC Porto win 9% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 3 FC Porto win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 1 – 2 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Maritimo22%
Draw17%
FC Porto61%

Odds (1X2)

19.00
X5.00
21.30

Maritimo vs FC Porto preview and result

Maritimo and FC Porto met in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Maritimo a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Porto 61%. Our pick was FC Porto to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.30. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Maritimo or FC Porto) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (0.8 for Maritimo, 2.2 for FC Porto). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Maritimo have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 12. FC Porto have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Maritimo won 3, FC Porto won 19 and 5 ended level. In the table, Maritimo are 15th with 8 points and FC Porto are 1st with 33 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Maritimo vs FC Porto?

Our pre-match prediction is FC Porto to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.30. Win chances: Maritimo 22%, draw 17%, FC Porto 61%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Maritimo vs FC Porto?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Maritimo vs FC Porto?

Maritimo vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) was played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Maritimo vs FC Porto?

The double chance 12 (Maritimo or FC Porto) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Maritimo15th8 pts
FC Porto1st33 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142