Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Sat 21 Feb 2026
England flag England : Premier League
Aston VillaWWLDL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
LeedsLDDLW
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 1.83 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Aston VillaWWLDL
03 Nov 26ABarcelona0 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HFulham1 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26ABournemouth0 - 3League Cup
24 Oct 26HManchester City2 - 1Premier League
21 Oct 26HViking3 - 1UEFA Champions League
LeedsLDDLW
07 Nov 26HTottenham1 - 0Premier League
31 Oct 26ABournemouth0 - 2Premier League
25 Oct 26ASunderland0 - 0Premier League
18 Oct 26HManchester United1 - 1Premier League
10 Oct 26AArsenal1 - 2Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Aston Villa vs Leeds →

Our prediction

Aston Villa to win

@ 1.83
Double chance
1X  •  Aston Villa or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.73
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Aston Villalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Leedslast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
23/4452%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.00Aston Villa
2.79Total
1.79Leeds

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 7.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Aston Villa win 9% @ 7.75
2 – 1 Aston Villa win 9% @ 8.25 Our pick
2 – 0 Aston Villa win 8% @ 9.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 11.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Aston Villa67%
Draw24%
Leeds9%

Odds (1X2)

11.83
X3.70
24.20

Aston Villa vs Leeds preview and result

Aston Villa and Leeds met in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Aston Villa a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leeds 9%. Our pick was Aston Villa to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.83. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Aston Villa or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.0 for Aston Villa, 1.8 for Leeds). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Aston Villa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-D-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Leeds have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-L-W), scoring 3 and conceding 5. In the table, Aston Villa are 12th with 12 points and Leeds are 8th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Aston Villa vs Leeds?

Our pre-match prediction is Aston Villa to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.83. Win chances: Aston Villa 67%, draw 24%, Leeds 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Leeds?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Aston Villa vs Leeds?

Aston Villa vs Leeds (Premier League) was played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Aston Villa vs Leeds?

The double chance 1X (Aston Villa or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Aston Villa12th12 pts
Leeds8th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Arsenal 10901 1027
2 Manchester City 10703 821
3 Brighton 9612 1719
4 Chelsea 9513 416
5 Everton 10442 216
6 Liverpool 9432 215
7 Brentford 9351 714
8 Leeds 10352 214
9 Bournemouth 9333 112
10 Tottenham 10334 -112
11 Newcastle 10334 -312
12 Aston Villa 9333 -312
13 Hull City 10253 011
14 Ipswich 9324 -411
15 Fulham 10244 -210
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 -49
17 Coventry 10307 -99
18 Manchester United 9144 -57
19 Crystal Palace 9216 -127
20 Sunderland 9126 -105