Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League · Sat 21 Feb 2026
England flag England : Premier League
Chelsea
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
BurnleyLLDDL
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 1.23 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Chelsea

No matches found.

BurnleyLLDDL
07 Nov 26ACardiff4 - 5Championship
03 Nov 26AQPR1 - 1Championship
31 Oct 26HPortsmouth0 - 0Championship
24 Oct 26ALincoln1 - 4Championship
16 Oct 26HWolves1 - 2Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Chelsea vs Burnley →

Our prediction

Chelsea to win

@ 1.23
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.68
Confidence
85%

Our record

Our tips on Burnleylast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
26/5052%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
2.04Chelsea
3.00Total
0.96Burnley

Possible correct scores

2 – 0 Chelsea win 12% @ 6.75
3 – 0 Chelsea win 11% @ 7.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Chelsea win 9% @ 8.75
2 – 1 Chelsea win 9% @ 9.25
4 – 0 Chelsea win 8% @ 10.50

Final score: 1 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Chelsea75%
Draw15%
Burnley10%

Odds (1X2)

11.23
X7.00
211.00

Chelsea vs Burnley preview and result

Chelsea and Burnley met in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Chelsea a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Burnley 10%. Our pick was Chelsea to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.23. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (2.0 for Chelsea, 1.0 for Burnley). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Burnley have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-D-L), scoring 7 and conceding 12.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley?

Our pre-match prediction is Chelsea to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.23. Win chances: Chelsea 75%, draw 15%, Burnley 10%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Burnley?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Chelsea vs Burnley?

Chelsea vs Burnley (Premier League) was played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Premier League table

Chelsea5th16 pts
Burnley–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Arsenal 10901 1027
2 Brighton 10712 1922
3 Manchester City 10703 821
4 Liverpool 10532 418
5 Chelsea 10514 316
6 Everton 10442 216
7 Bournemouth 10433 215
8 Brentford 10352 514
9 Leeds 10352 214
10 Aston Villa 10343 -313
11 Tottenham 10334 -112
12 Newcastle 10334 -312
13 Hull City 10253 011
14 Ipswich 10325 -511
15 Fulham 10244 -210
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 -49
17 Coventry 10307 -99
18 Manchester United 10154 -58
19 Sunderland 10226 -98
20 Crystal Palace 10217 -147